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MLB Matchup

Nationals @ Red Sox

Mon, Jun 29 11:10 PMFenway ParkMLB.TV
Final
WSH 3 - 6 BOS
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
WSH +1.5·BOS -1.5
Moneyline
WSH +148·BOS -180
Total
8.5
Nationals
Away
Nationals
48-46
28-18 road
W
L
W
L
L
Red Sox
Home
Red Sox
43-48
17-27 home
W
W
W
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Red Sox ML
-175· moderate risk
68%

Ranger Suarez's 2.83 ERA represents a massive 2.41-run advantage over Miles Mikolas (5.24 ERA), the single largest edge in this matchup and the primary driver of the lean toward Boston.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Miles Mikolas
WSH
Miles Mikolas
(3-7, 5.78)
5.78
ERA
Ranger Suarez
BOS
Ranger Suarez
(4-3, 3.15)
3.15
ERA

Season Series — WSH 2 - BOS 1

WSH 10-2 BOS
Jul 1
WSH 8-1 BOS
Jun 30
WSH 6-3 BOS
Jun 29

Batting

0.251
#8
AVG
0.244
#13
0.760
#3
OPS
0.701
#23
132
#2
HR
81
#30
508
#1
R
372
#29
484
#1
RBI
355
#29
100
#1
SB
71
#11

Pitching

4.76
#26
ERA
3.67
#7
1.390
#24
WHIP
1.230
#7
744
#21
K
777
#17
330
#19
BB
264
#3
18
#28
QS
41
#3
27
#8
SV
21
#21

Bullpen & Advanced

7.9
#24
K/9
8.7
#12
0.259
#27
OPP AVG
0.239
#14
0.759
#26
OPP OPS
0.685
#7
52
#12
HLD
52
#12

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

57-37
Overall ATS
41-50
33-13
Away/Home ATS
17-27
6-6
As Favorite
24-34
51-31
As Underdog
17-16
0-0-6
Over/Under
0-0-4
6-4
Last 10 ATS
7-3
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +1.1
Avg margin: +0.1
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.4
Avg margin: +0.2

Scoring

5.40
R/G
4.09
5.27
RA/G
3.89
0.1
DIFF
0.2

Injury Report

WSHBrad LordRP
15-Day-IL
WSHTrevor WilliamsSP
60-Day-IL
WSHJake IrvinSP
15-Day-IL
WSHMitchell ParkerRP
60-Day-IL
WSHRichard LoveladyRP
15-Day-IL
WSHDJ HerzSP
60-Day-IL
WSHMax KranickRP
60-Day-IL
WSHKen WaldichukRP
60-Day-IL
BOSConnelly EarlySP
15-Day-IL
BOSRanger SuarezSP
15-Day-IL
BOSJohan OviedoSP
60-Day-IL
BOSTanner HouckSP
60-Day-IL
BOSTrevor StorySS
60-Day-IL
BOSKutter CrawfordSP
60-Day-IL
BOSRoman AnthonyLF
60-Day-IL
BOSTriston Casas1B
60-Day-IL