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MLB Matchup

Nationals @ Red Sox

Mon, Jun 29 11:10 PMFenway ParkMLB.TV
Final
WSH 3 - 6 BOS
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
WSH +1.5·BOS -1.5
Moneyline
WSH +148·BOS -180
Total
8.5
Nationals
Away
Nationals
62-71
34-35 road
W
L
L
L
L
Red Sox
Home
Red Sox
72-59
34-32 home
W
W
W
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Red Sox ML
-175· moderate risk
68%

Ranger Suarez's 2.83 ERA represents a massive 2.41-run advantage over Miles Mikolas (5.24 ERA), the single largest edge in this matchup and the primary driver of the lean toward Boston.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Miles Mikolas
WSH
Miles Mikolas
(3-9, 5.82)
5.82
ERA
Ranger Suarez
BOS
Ranger Suarez
(5-3, 3.35)
3.35
ERA

Season Series — WSH 2 - BOS 1

WSH 10-2 BOS
Jul 1
WSH 8-1 BOS
Jun 30
WSH 6-3 BOS
Jun 29

Batting

0.248
#9
AVG
0.251
#6
0.754
#3
OPS
0.731
#8
183
#1
HR
133
#24
682
#2
R
589
#13
652
#1
RBI
564
#14
139
#1
SB
97
#11

Pitching

4.68
#27
ERA
3.51
#3
1.390
#26
WHIP
1.220
#6
1013
#25
K
1112
#12
467
#20
BB
369
#3
29
#27
QS
53
#4
33
#16
SV
36
#13

Bullpen & Advanced

7.8
#24
K/9
8.7
#11
0.257
#27
OPP AVG
0.239
#13
0.761
#27
OPP OPS
0.679
#4
67
#19
HLD
80
#9

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

76-57
Overall ATS
64-67
43-26
Away/Home ATS
30-36
14-11
As Favorite
40-49
62-46
As Underdog
24-18
0-0-8
Over/Under
0-0-4
5-5
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +0.9
Avg margin: +0.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.5
Avg margin: +0.8

Scoring

5.23
R/G
4.53
5.08
RA/G
3.76
0.1
DIFF
0.7

Injury Report

WSHJosiah GraySP
60-Day-IL
WSHConnelly EarlySP
60-Day-IL
WSHJames WoodRF
10-Day-IL
WSHDJ HerzSP
60-Day-IL
WSHDrew MillasC
10-Day-IL
WSHRichard LoveladyRP
60-Day-IL
WSHPJ PoulinRP
60-Day-IL
WSHMitchell ParkerRP
60-Day-IL
BOSTrevor StorySS
60-Day-IL
BOSGarrett WhitlockRP
15-Day-IL
BOSIsiah Kiner-Falefa2B
60-Day-IL
BOSRoman AnthonyLF
60-Day-IL
BOSGarrett CrochetSP
60-Day-IL
BOSMasataka YoshidaDH
10-Day-IL
BOSTanner HouckSP
60-Day-IL
BOSJustin SlatenRP
15-Day-IL