AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Nationals @ Red Sox

Wed, Jul 1 5:35 PMFenway ParkMLB.TV
Final
WSH 10 - 2 BOS
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
WSH +1.5·BOS -1.5
Moneyline
WSH +128·BOS -154
Total
9.5
Nationals
Away
Nationals
48-46
28-18 road
W
L
W
L
L
Red Sox
Home
Red Sox
43-48
17-27 home
W
W
W
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Nationals ML
+123· moderate risk
68%

Washington is the superior ATS team on the road (.711, 32-13) facing a Boston club that is a poor home ATS performer (.395, 17-26), and the Nationals carry a better overall record (.506 vs .440) with stronger offensive numbers.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Brad Lord
WSH
Brad Lord
(5-2, 3.88)
3.88
ERA
Payton Tolle
BOS
Payton Tolle
(5-6, 3.14)
3.14
ERA

Season Series — WSH 2 - BOS 1

WSH 10-2 BOS
Jul 1
WSH 8-1 BOS
Jun 30
WSH 6-3 BOS
Jun 29

Batting

0.251
#8
AVG
0.244
#13
0.760
#3
OPS
0.701
#23
132
#2
HR
81
#30
508
#1
R
372
#29
484
#1
RBI
355
#29
100
#1
SB
71
#11

Pitching

4.76
#26
ERA
3.67
#7
1.390
#24
WHIP
1.230
#7
744
#21
K
777
#17
330
#19
BB
264
#3
18
#28
QS
41
#3
27
#8
SV
21
#21

Bullpen & Advanced

7.9
#24
K/9
8.7
#12
0.259
#27
OPP AVG
0.239
#14
0.759
#26
OPP OPS
0.685
#7
52
#12
HLD
52
#12

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

57-37
Overall ATS
41-50
33-13
Away/Home ATS
17-27
6-6
As Favorite
24-34
51-31
As Underdog
17-16
0-0-6
Over/Under
0-0-4
6-4
Last 10 ATS
7-3
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +1.1
Avg margin: +0.1
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.4
Avg margin: +0.2

Scoring

5.40
R/G
4.09
5.27
RA/G
3.89
0.1
DIFF
0.2

Injury Report

WSHBrad LordRP
15-Day-IL
WSHTrevor WilliamsSP
60-Day-IL
WSHJake IrvinSP
15-Day-IL
WSHMitchell ParkerRP
60-Day-IL
WSHRichard LoveladyRP
15-Day-IL
WSHDJ HerzSP
60-Day-IL
WSHMax KranickRP
60-Day-IL
WSHKen WaldichukRP
60-Day-IL
BOSConnelly EarlySP
15-Day-IL
BOSRanger SuarezSP
15-Day-IL
BOSJohan OviedoSP
60-Day-IL
BOSTanner HouckSP
60-Day-IL
BOSTrevor StorySS
60-Day-IL
BOSKutter CrawfordSP
60-Day-IL
BOSRoman AnthonyLF
60-Day-IL
BOSTriston Casas1B
60-Day-IL