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MLB Matchup

Nationals @ Red Sox

Wed, Jul 1 5:35 PMFenway ParkMLB.TV
Final
WSH 10 - 2 BOS
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
WSH +1.5·BOS -1.5
Moneyline
WSH +128·BOS -154
Total
9.5
Nationals
Away
Nationals
62-71
34-35 road
W
L
L
L
L
Red Sox
Home
Red Sox
72-59
34-32 home
W
W
W
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Nationals ML
+123· moderate risk
68%

Washington is the superior ATS team on the road (.711, 32-13) facing a Boston club that is a poor home ATS performer (.395, 17-26), and the Nationals carry a better overall record (.506 vs .440) with stronger offensive numbers.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Brad Lord
WSH
Brad Lord
(5-2, 3.88)
3.88
ERA
Payton Tolle
BOS
Payton Tolle
(8-6, 3.08)
3.08
ERA

Season Series — WSH 2 - BOS 1

WSH 10-2 BOS
Jul 1
WSH 8-1 BOS
Jun 30
WSH 6-3 BOS
Jun 29

Batting

0.248
#9
AVG
0.251
#6
0.754
#3
OPS
0.731
#8
183
#1
HR
133
#24
682
#2
R
589
#13
652
#1
RBI
564
#14
139
#1
SB
97
#11

Pitching

4.68
#27
ERA
3.51
#3
1.390
#26
WHIP
1.220
#6
1013
#25
K
1112
#12
467
#20
BB
369
#3
29
#27
QS
53
#4
33
#16
SV
36
#13

Bullpen & Advanced

7.8
#24
K/9
8.7
#11
0.257
#27
OPP AVG
0.239
#13
0.761
#27
OPP OPS
0.679
#4
67
#19
HLD
80
#9

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

76-57
Overall ATS
64-67
43-26
Away/Home ATS
30-36
14-11
As Favorite
40-49
62-46
As Underdog
24-18
0-0-8
Over/Under
0-0-4
5-5
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +0.9
Avg margin: +0.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.5
Avg margin: +0.8

Scoring

5.23
R/G
4.53
5.08
RA/G
3.76
0.1
DIFF
0.7

Injury Report

WSHJosiah GraySP
60-Day-IL
WSHConnelly EarlySP
60-Day-IL
WSHJames WoodRF
10-Day-IL
WSHDJ HerzSP
60-Day-IL
WSHDrew MillasC
10-Day-IL
WSHRichard LoveladyRP
60-Day-IL
WSHPJ PoulinRP
60-Day-IL
WSHMitchell ParkerRP
60-Day-IL
BOSTrevor StorySS
60-Day-IL
BOSGarrett WhitlockRP
15-Day-IL
BOSIsiah Kiner-Falefa2B
60-Day-IL
BOSRoman AnthonyLF
60-Day-IL
BOSGarrett CrochetSP
60-Day-IL
BOSMasataka YoshidaDH
10-Day-IL
BOSTanner HouckSP
60-Day-IL
BOSJustin SlatenRP
15-Day-IL