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MLB Matchup

Orioles @ Guardians

Thu, Apr 16 10:10 PMProgressive FieldMLB.TV
Final
BAL 2 - 4 CLE
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
BAL +1.5·CLE -1.5
Moneyline
BAL +113·CLE -136
Total
8
Orioles
Away
Orioles
75-80
39-39 road
L
L
W
W
W
Guardians
Home
Guardians
80-75
40-40 home
W
W
W
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Guardians ML
-126· moderate risk
72%

Parker Messick's 0.51 ERA vs Shane Baz's 4.50 ERA represents a dominant pitching edge that overwhelms every other factor in this matchup.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Shane Baz
BAL
Shane Baz
(6-15, 4.11)
4.11
ERA
Parker Messick
CLE
Parker Messick
(12-9, 2.57)
2.57
ERA

Season Series — BAL 3 - CLE 4

BAL 9-5 CLE
Sep 9
BAL 9-5 CLE
Sep 8
BAL 6-4 CLE
Sep 7
BAL 8-4 CLE
Apr 19
BAL 4-2 CLE
Apr 18
BAL 6-4 CLE
Apr 17
BAL 4-2 CLE
Apr 16

Batting

0.234
#26
AVG
0.238
#24
0.710
#22
OPS
0.693
#28
189
#10
HR
152
#27
693
#14
R
648
#26
668
#13
RBI
621
#25
76
#25
SB
141
#7

Pitching

4.12
#13
ERA
3.80
#8
1.340
#21
WHIP
1.260
#9
1250
#21
K
1463
#3
516
#15
BB
512
#12
59
#8
QS
56
#9
44
#8
SV
43
#11

Bullpen & Advanced

8.1
#23
K/9
9.6
#2
0.253
#25
OPP AVG
0.237
#10
0.729
#23
OPP OPS
0.699
#9
80
#17
HLD
107
#2

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

82-73
Overall ATS
77-78
40-38
Away/Home ATS
37-43
29-42
As Favorite
32-57
53-31
As Underdog
45-21
0-0-5
Over/Under
0-0-2
7-3
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.1
Avg margin: -0.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.2

Scoring

4.47
R/G
4.18
4.65
RA/G
4.17
-0.2
DIFF
0.0

Injury Report

BALTyler O'NeillRF
60-Day-IL
BALRyan HelsleyRP
60-Day-IL
BALJackson Holliday2B
10-Day-IL
BALKyle BradishSP
15-Day-IL
BALShane BazSP
Day-To-Day
BALBlaze Alexander3B
10-Day-IL
BALRyan Mountcastle1B
60-Day-IL
BALLuis Robert Jr.CF
10-Day-IL
CLEBrayan RocchioSS
Day-To-Day
CLEColin HoldermanRP
15-Day-IL
CLEShawn ArmstrongRP
60-Day-IL
CLERhys Hoskins1B
10-Day-IL