AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Orioles @ Nationals

Sat, May 16 8:05 PMNationals ParkMLB.TV
Final
BAL 3 - 13 WSH
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
BAL -1.5·WSH +1.5
Moneyline
BAL -113·WSH -107
Total
10
Orioles
Away
Orioles
23-29
9-17 road
W
W
L
L
L
Nationals
Home
Nationals
26-27
10-16 home
W
W
L
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Nationals ML
-110· moderate risk
62%

Washington holds a significant ATS edge (+16% overall win rate, 27-18 vs BAL's 20-25) and Cade Cavalli's 4.02 ERA is meaningfully better than Chris Bassitt's 5.21 ERA, giving the home side both a pitching and betting-market advantage

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Chris Bassitt
BAL
Chris Bassitt
(4-3, 5.51)
5.51
ERA
Cade Cavalli
WSH
Cade Cavalli
(2-3, 3.86)
3.86
ERA

Season Series — BAL 1 - WSH 2

BAL 7-3 WSH
May 17
BAL 13-3 WSH
May 16
BAL 3-2 WSH
May 15

Batting

0.236
#19
AVG
0.243
#10
0.708
#14
OPS
0.738
#4
56
#14
HR
65
#6
222
#18
R
286
#1
218
#14
RBI
268
#2
26
#22
SB
51
#5

Pitching

4.95
#29
ERA
4.87
#26
1.450
#27
WHIP
1.390
#24
418
#20
K
423
#16
191
#22
BB
191
#22
12
#26
QS
8
#29
14
#10
SV
15
#7

Bullpen & Advanced

8.4
#16
K/9
7.9
#24
0.262
#29
OPP AVG
0.255
#27
0.776
#28
OPP OPS
0.757
#26
31
#11
HLD
28
#16

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

23-29
Overall ATS
33-20
10-16
Away/Home ATS
13-13
11-18
As Favorite
0-1
12-11
As Underdog
33-19
0-0-3
Over/Under
0-0-4
4-6
Last 10 ATS
7-3
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.2
Avg margin: -1.0
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +1.4
Avg margin: -0.3

Scoring

4.37
R/G
5.40
5.40
RA/G
5.68
-1.0
DIFF
-0.3

Injury Report

BALCoby Mayo3B
Day-To-Day
BALLevi WellsP
Day-To-Day
BALCade PovichSP
15-Day-IL
BALColin SelbyRP
60-Day-IL
BALRyan Mountcastle1B
60-Day-IL
BALJordan Westburg3B
60-Day-IL
BALRyan HelsleyRP
15-Day-IL
BALDylan BeaversRF
10-Day-IL
WSHJake IrvinSP
15-Day-IL
WSHDJ HerzSP
60-Day-IL
WSHCole HenryRP
15-Day-IL
WSHTrevor WilliamsSP
60-Day-IL
WSHJosiah GraySP
60-Day-IL
WSHTyler BaumDH
Day-To-Day
WSHKen WaldichukRP
60-Day-IL
WSHTyler StuartSP
Out