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MLB Matchup

Orioles @ Rays

Sun, Aug 16 4:15 PMTropicana FieldPeacock
Final
BAL 10 - 2 TB
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
BAL +1.5·TB -1.5
Moneyline
BAL +126·TB -136
Total
7
Orioles
Away
Orioles
63-68
29-34 road
L
W
W
L
L
Rays
Home
Rays
77-53
43-23 home
W
L
L
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Rays ML
-140· moderate risk
62%

Tampa Bay holds a dominant home advantage (.607 win%, 41-20 at home) backed by a superior team ERA (3.71 vs 4.23) and a 7-3 ATS run last 10, offsetting Baltimore's starter ERA edge.

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Starting Pitchers

Trevor Rogers
BAL
Trevor Rogers
(9-8, 4.14)
4.14
ERA
Freddy Peralta
TB
Freddy Peralta
(5-11, 5.33)
5.33
ERA

Season Series — BAL 8 - TB 5

BAL 3-1 TB
Aug 23
BAL 3-2 TB
Aug 22
BAL 5-3 TB
Aug 21
BAL 7-6 TB
Aug 17
BAL 10-2 TB
Aug 16
BAL 4-3 TB
Aug 15
BAL 6-5 TB
Aug 14
BAL 11-2 TB
May 27
BAL 6-1 TB
May 26
BAL 9-7 TB
May 25
BAL 5-3 TB
May 20
BAL 4-1 TB
May 19
BAL 16-6 TB
May 18

Batting

0.235
#26
AVG
0.261
#1
0.713
#20
OPS
0.734
#6
159
#10
HR
135
#23
583
#17
R
587
#14
563
#15
RBI
558
#17
68
#21
SB
128
#4

Pitching

4.19
#20
ERA
3.83
#8
1.340
#22
WHIP
1.160
#2
1038
#23
K
1061
#20
435
#15
BB
329
#1
51
#7
QS
40
#20
34
#15
SV
51
#1

Bullpen & Advanced

8.0
#23
K/9
8.2
#20
0.254
#26
OPP AVG
0.233
#8
0.730
#22
OPP OPS
0.691
#8
68
#17
HLD
99
#1

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

69-62
Overall ATS
71-59
33-30
Away/Home ATS
36-30
25-35
As Favorite
49-47
44-27
As Underdog
22-12
0-0-5
Over/Under
0-0-5
6-4
Last 10 ATS
1-9
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.1
Avg margin: -0.3
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +0.3

Scoring

4.45
R/G
4.52
4.72
RA/G
4.18
-0.2
DIFF
0.3

Injury Report

BALFelix BautistaRP
60-Day-IL
BALBlaze Alexander3B
10-Day-IL
BALRyan HelsleyRP
60-Day-IL
BALColin SelbyRP
60-Day-IL
BALRyan Mountcastle1B
60-Day-IL
BALKeegan AkinRP
60-Day-IL
BALJordan Westburg3B
60-Day-IL
BALZach EflinSP
60-Day-IL
TBGriffin JaxSP
15-Day-IL
TBCole SulserRP
15-Day-IL
TBEdwin UcetaRP
60-Day-IL
TBJake FraleyRF
60-Day-IL
TBGavin LuxLF
60-Day-IL
TBBen Williamson2B
10-Day-IL
TBJonathan HeasleyRP
60-Day-IL
TBRyan PepiotSP
60-Day-IL