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MLB Matchup

Orioles @ Yankees

Fri, May 1 11:05 PMYankee StadiumESPN Unlmtd
Final
BAL 2 - 7 NYY
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
BAL +1.5·NYY -1.5
Moneyline
BAL +153·NYY -186
Total
9
Orioles
Away
Orioles
23-29
9-17 road
W
W
L
L
L
Yankees
Home
Yankees
31-22
17-9 home
W
L
L
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Yankees ML
-186· moderate risk
68%

Yankees hold a meaningful team quality edge with a +1.9 run differential advantage, a 3.11 team ERA vs Baltimore's 4.29, and Will Warren (3-0, 2.59 ERA) taking the mound against a TBD Baltimore starter — a significant pitching matchup gap.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Cade Povich
BAL
Cade Povich
(1-1, 5.12)
5.12
ERA
Will Warren
NYY
Will Warren
(6-1, 3.61)
3.61
ERA

Season Series — BAL 2 - NYY 5

BAL 7-0 NYY
May 13
BAL 6-2 NYY
May 12
BAL 3-2 NYY
May 11
BAL 12-1 NYY
May 4
BAL 11-3 NYY
May 3
BAL 9-4 NYY
May 2
BAL 7-2 NYY
May 1

Batting

0.236
#19
AVG
0.234
#21
0.708
#14
OPS
0.755
#3
56
#14
HR
74
#1
222
#18
R
252
#4
218
#14
RBI
239
#5
26
#22
SB
49
#6

Pitching

4.95
#29
ERA
3.30
#4
1.450
#27
WHIP
1.180
#3
418
#20
K
456
#10
191
#22
BB
160
#8
12
#26
QS
21
#6
14
#10
SV
12
#21

Bullpen & Advanced

8.4
#16
K/9
8.9
#8
0.262
#29
OPP AVG
0.223
#4
0.776
#28
OPP OPS
0.631
#2
31
#11
HLD
34
#10

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

23-29
Overall ATS
26-27
10-16
Away/Home ATS
13-13
11-18
As Favorite
26-27
12-11
As Underdog
0-0
0-0-3
Over/Under
0-0-4
4-6
Last 10 ATS
2-8
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.2
Avg margin: -1.0
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -1.5
Avg margin: +1.3

Scoring

4.37
R/G
4.79
5.40
RA/G
3.53
-1.0
DIFF
1.3

Injury Report

BALCoby Mayo3B
Day-To-Day
BALLevi WellsP
Day-To-Day
BALCade PovichSP
15-Day-IL
BALColin SelbyRP
60-Day-IL
BALRyan Mountcastle1B
60-Day-IL
BALJordan Westburg3B
60-Day-IL
BALRyan HelsleyRP
15-Day-IL
BALDylan BeaversRF
10-Day-IL
NYYJasson DominguezLF
10-Day-IL
NYYGiancarlo StantonDH
10-Day-IL
NYYMax FriedSP
15-Day-IL
NYYAngel ChivilliRP
15-Day-IL
NYYClarke SchmidtSP
60-Day-IL
NYYTravis MacGregorSP
Day-To-Day