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MLB Matchup

Padres @ Guardians

Sun, Aug 16 5:40 PMProgressive FieldMLB.TV
Final
SD 5 - 0 CLE
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
SD +1.5·CLE -1.5
Moneyline
SD -105·CLE -103
Total
8
Padres
Away
Padres
71-60
31-34 road
W
W
W
L
W
Guardians
Home
Guardians
65-66
31-34 home
W
W
W
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Padres ML
-108· moderate risk
62%

Casey Mize's 3.38 ERA holds a meaningful advantage over Tanner Bibee's 3.99 ERA, and San Diego's elite road ATS record (34-27, .557) and 7-3 ATS run last 10 games point directionally toward the Padres, though the near-even moneyline (-108) and Cleveland's bullpen bounce-back after a blowout win temper conviction.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Casey Mize
SD
Casey Mize
(5-7, 3.44)
3.44
ERA
Tanner Bibee
CLE
Tanner Bibee
(5-13, 3.97)
3.97
ERA

Season Series — SD 2 - CLE 1

SD 5-0 CLE
Aug 16
SD 6-1 CLE
Aug 15
SD 7-5 CLE
Aug 14

Batting

0.239
#22
AVG
0.235
#26
0.708
#22
OPS
0.684
#29
148
#17
HR
123
#29
564
#21
R
527
#26
544
#20
RBI
504
#26
125
#7
SB
126
#5

Pitching

4.01
#11
ERA
3.75
#7
1.290
#14
WHIP
1.260
#11
1052
#22
K
1223
#3
444
#16
BB
432
#13
29
#27
QS
46
#12
39
#5
SV
37
#9

Bullpen & Advanced

8.2
#20
K/9
9.5
#3
0.242
#16
OPP AVG
0.237
#10
0.711
#12
OPP OPS
0.702
#11
81
#8
HLD
98
#2

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

75-56
Overall ATS
67-64
37-28
Away/Home ATS
32-33
26-31
As Favorite
24-46
49-25
As Underdog
43-18
0-0-4
Over/Under
0-0-1
8-2
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +0.2
Avg margin: +0.1
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.1
Avg margin: -0.1

Scoring

4.31
R/G
4.02
4.18
RA/G
4.09
0.1
DIFF
-0.1

Injury Report

SDCasey MizeSP
Day-To-Day
SDNick PivettaSP
60-Day-IL
SDJoe MusgroveSP
60-Day-IL
SDJason AdamRP
60-Day-IL
SDMiguel AndujarDH
10-Day-IL
SDSamad TaylorLF
10-Day-IL
SDLucas GiolitoSP
15-Day-IL
SDRamon LaureanoLF
60-Day-IL
CLESlade CecconiSP
15-Day-IL
CLERhys Hoskins1B
10-Day-IL
CLEColin HoldermanRP
Day-To-Day
CLEShawn ArmstrongRP
60-Day-IL