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MLB Matchup

Padres @ Mariners

Sat, May 16 11:15 PMT-Mobile ParkMLB.TV
Final
SD 7 - 4 SEA
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
SD +1.5·SEA -1.5
Moneyline
SD +144·SEA -175
Total
7
Padres
Away
Padres
31-21
15-8 road
W
W
L
L
W
Mariners
Home
Mariners
25-29
14-15 home
L
L
W
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Mariners ML
-168· moderate risk
60%

Logan Gilbert's 3.78 ERA represents a meaningful 1.42-run advantage over Walker Buehler's 5.20 ERA, giving Seattle the clearest statistical edge in this pitching-driven matchup at a pitcher-friendly park.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Walker Buehler
SD
Walker Buehler
(3-2, 5.05)
5.05
ERA
Logan Gilbert
SEA
Logan Gilbert
(2-4, 4.04)
4.04
ERA

Season Series — SD 6 - SEA 0

SD 8-3 SEA
May 17
SD 7-4 SEA
May 16
SD 2-0 SEA
May 16
SD 5-2 SEA
Apr 17
SD 7-6 SEA
Apr 16
SD 4-1 SEA
Apr 15

Batting

0.219
#30
AVG
0.223
#29
0.658
#29
OPS
0.686
#24
52
#17
HR
59
#11
209
#24
R
212
#22
202
#24
RBI
207
#22
48
#7
SB
44
#9

Pitching

3.84
#12
ERA
3.57
#6
1.250
#12
WHIP
1.220
#7
441
#14
K
457
#9
177
#13
BB
136
#1
11
#27
QS
23
#4
19
#3
SV
14
#10

Bullpen & Advanced

8.7
#10
K/9
8.7
#10
0.233
#11
OPP AVG
0.249
#23
0.675
#7
OPP OPS
0.697
#14
37
#6
HLD
30
#13

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

30-21
Overall ATS
19-35
13-10
Away/Home ATS
10-19
12-12
As Favorite
18-32
18-9
As Underdog
1-3
0-0-2
Over/Under
0-0-3
8-2
Last 10 ATS
3-7
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +0.1
Avg margin: +0.2
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -1.3
Avg margin: +0.1

Scoring

4.06
R/G
4.04
3.94
RA/G
3.93
0.2
DIFF
0.1

Injury Report

SDMatt WaldronSP
15-Day-IL
SDGerman MarquezSP
15-Day-IL
SDLuis CampusanoC
10-Day-IL
SDJhony BritoRP
60-Day-IL
SDYu DarvishSP
Out
SDBlake HuntC
Day-To-Day
SDJoe MusgroveSP
60-Day-IL
SDBryan HoeingRP
60-Day-IL
SEAGabe SpeierRP
15-Day-IL
SEABrendan Donovan3B
10-Day-IL
SEACal RaleighC
10-Day-IL
SEAMiles Mastrobuoni3B
60-Day-IL
SEATeddy McGrawSP
Day-To-Day
SEALogan EvansSP
60-Day-IL
SEACarlos VargasRP
60-Day-IL
SEAWill Wilson3B
10-Day-IL