AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Padres @ Rays

Sat, Aug 29 8:10 PMTropicana FieldMLB.TV
Final
SD 6 - 7 TB
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
SD +1.5·TB -1.5
Moneyline
SD +119·TB -128
Total
8
Padres
Away
Padres
91-71
40-41 road
L
W
L
L
W
Rays
Home
Rays
98-64
55-26 home
W
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Rays ML
-127· moderate risk
72%

Nick Martinez (2.93 ERA) holds a 1.70 ERA advantage over Walker Buehler (4.63 ERA), the dominant MLB signal, reinforced by Tampa Bay's superior home record and team pitching metrics.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Walker Buehler
SD
Walker Buehler
(9-6, 4.63)
4.63
ERA
Nick Martinez
TB
Nick Martinez
(15-6, 3.10)
3.10
ERA

Batting

0.230
#2
AVG
0.208
#4
0.651
#2
OPS
0.599
#10
6
#23
HR
3
#15
22
#26
R
10
#8
19
#26
RBI
9
#8
4
#25
SB
3
#2

Pitching

2.22
#1
ERA
1.67
#8
1.220
#3
WHIP
0.700
#6
45
#27
K
31
#13
23
#5
BB
7
#9
1
#25
QS
1
#9
2
#23
SV
3
#1

Bullpen & Advanced

7.7
#5
K/9
10.3
#18
0.211
#2
OPP AVG
0.130
#6
0.588
#1
OPP OPS
0.431
#7
5
#23
HLD
4
#2

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

2-0
Overall ATS
85-77
0-0
Away/Home ATS
42-39
2-0
As Favorite
58-60
0-0
As Underdog
27-17
0-0
Over/Under
0-0-5
2-0
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
1.0%
Avg spread: -1.5
Avg margin: +5.5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +0.5

Scoring

4.46
R/G
4.54
4.20
RA/G
4.01
0.3
DIFF
0.5

Injury Report

SDAdrian MorejonRP
Day-To-Day
SDGavin Sheets1B
Day-To-Day
SDRodolfo DuranC
60-Day-IL
SDMiguel AndujarDH
10-Day-IL
SDJeremiah EstradaRP
15-Day-IL
SDRamon LaureanoLF
60-Day-IL
SDLuis RengifoLF
60-Day-IL
SDLucas GiolitoSP
60-Day-IL
TBShane McClanahanSP
Out
TBJacob MeltonLF
60-Day-IL
TBGavin LuxLF
60-Day-IL
TBEdwin UcetaRP
60-Day-IL
TBJonathan HeasleyRP
60-Day-IL
TBRyan PepiotSP
60-Day-IL