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MLB Matchup

Phillies @ Marlins

Mon, May 4 10:40 PMloanDepot parkMLB.TV
Final
PHI 1 - 0 MIA
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
PHI -1.5·MIA +1.5
Moneyline
PHI -105·MIA -115
Total
8.5
Phillies
Away
Phillies
26-27
12-11 road
L
W
L
L
L
Marlins
Home
Marlins
25-29
18-15 home
W
W
W
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Marlins ML
-108· moderate risk
68%

Janson Junk's 3.00 ERA vs Aaron Nola's 6.03 ERA is a 3.03-run differential — a significant starter edge favoring Miami at home in a pitcher-friendly park

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Aaron Nola
PHI
Aaron Nola
(2-4, 6.04)
6.04
ERA
Janson Junk
MIA
Janson Junk
(2-5, 5.07)
5.07
ERA

Season Series — PHI 3 - MIA 1

PHI 1-0 MIA
May 4
PHI 7-2 MIA
May 3
PHI 4-0 MIA
May 2
PHI 6-5 MIA
May 1

Batting

0.230
#24
AVG
0.243
#10
0.684
#25
OPS
0.696
#18
62
#9
HR
44
#26
212
#22
R
227
#15
208
#20
RBI
216
#16
41
#12
SB
62
#1

Pitching

4.16
#18
ERA
4.26
#22
1.330
#19
WHIP
1.270
#15
493
#2
K
446
#12
145
#2
BB
195
#24
22
#5
QS
17
#16
13
#14
SV
13
#14

Bullpen & Advanced

9.5
#2
K/9
8.6
#13
0.261
#28
OPP AVG
0.227
#8
0.719
#19
OPP OPS
0.682
#11
17
#27
HLD
25
#22

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

17-36
Overall ATS
24-30
8-15
Away/Home ATS
15-18
14-28
As Favorite
10-15
3-8
As Underdog
14-15
0-0-2
Over/Under
0-0-2
6-4
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.3%
Avg spread: -0.9
Avg margin: -0.5
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: +0.1
Avg margin: -0.2

Scoring

4.02
R/G
4.28
4.47
RA/G
4.48
-0.5
DIFF
-0.2

Injury Report

PHIKyle BackhusRP
15-Day-IL
PHIZach PopRP
15-Day-IL
PHIKeaton Anthony1B
Day-To-Day
PHIRene PintoC
Day-To-Day
PHIDaniel RobertRP
Day-To-Day
PHIMax LazarRP
60-Day-IL
PHIAndrew Bechtold3B
Day-To-Day
PHIMark KolozsvaryC
Day-To-Day
MIAConnor Norby1B
Day-To-Day
MIARobby SnellingSP
60-Day-IL
MIAThomas WhiteSP
Day-To-Day
MIAKemp AldermanRF
Day-To-Day
MIARonny HenriquezRP
60-Day-IL
MIAJesus TinocoRP
Out
MIAGriffin ConineLF
10-Day-IL
MIAAdam MazurSP
60-Day-IL