AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Phillies @ Mets

Sun, Jun 28 5:40 PMCiti FieldESPN Unlmtd
Final
PHI 5 - 4 NYM
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
PHI -1.5·NYM +1.5
Moneyline
PHI -156·NYM +129
Total
8.5
Phillies
Away
Phillies
63-56
31-26 road
W
L
L
W
L
Mets
Home
Mets
52-67
25-34 home
W
L
W
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Phillies ML
-149· moderate risk
62%

Philadelphia holds a meaningful talent and record advantage (46-37, .554 win%) over a below-.500 Mets squad (35-48, .422), and Luzardo's 4.00 ERA edges Perez's 4.99 ERA in a neutral park setting.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Jesus Luzardo
PHI
Jesus Luzardo
(10-5, 3.32)
3.32
ERA
Cionel Perez
NYM
Cionel Perez
(4-3, 4.97)
4.97
ERA

Season Series — PHI 5 - NYM 4

PHI 6-1 NYM
Jul 19
PHI 6-1 NYM
Jul 18
PHI 4-1 NYM
Jul 16
PHI 5-4 NYM
Jun 28
PHI 6-2 NYM
Jun 27
PHI 2-1 NYM
Jun 26
PHI 6-2 NYM
Jun 21
PHI 15-3 NYM
Jun 20
PHI 6-4 NYM
Jun 18

Batting

0.238
#21
AVG
0.235
#25
0.709
#21
OPS
0.694
#26
149
#8
HR
143
#12
528
#14
R
499
#22
511
#12
RBI
476
#22
92
#9
SB
63
#21

Pitching

4.19
#19
ERA
4.11
#14
1.310
#16
WHIP
1.300
#14
1168
#1
K
1075
#5
361
#9
BB
421
#20
51
#3
QS
33
#24
30
#15
SV
20
#29

Bullpen & Advanced

9.9
#1
K/9
9.1
#5
0.251
#24
OPP AVG
0.239
#12
0.726
#20
OPP OPS
0.711
#12
48
#27
HLD
48
#27

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

47-72
Overall ATS
56-63
22-35
Away/Home ATS
28-31
40-54
As Favorite
24-42
7-18
As Underdog
32-21
0-0-7
Over/Under
0-0-11
5-5
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.9
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.2
Avg margin: -0.4

Scoring

4.44
R/G
4.19
4.44
RA/G
4.55
0.0
DIFF
-0.4

Injury Report

PHICaleb KilianRP
Day-To-Day
PHIDerek HillCF
Day-To-Day
PHIBrad KellerRP
60-Day-IL
PHITanner BanksRP
60-Day-IL
PHIRafael MarchanC
10-Day-IL
PHIJohan RojasCF
60-Day-IL
PHIAdolis GarciaRF
60-Day-IL
NYMCionel PerezRP
15-Day-IL
NYMAustin WarrenRP
15-Day-IL
NYMJuan SotoLF
10-Day-IL
NYMJustin HagenmanRP
60-Day-IL
NYMMark Vientos1B
10-Day-IL
NYMReed GarrettRP
60-Day-IL
NYMTylor MegillSP
60-Day-IL