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MLB Matchup

Phillies @ Nationals

Wed, Jun 24 10:45 PMNationals ParkMLB.TV
Final
PHI 5 - 4 WSH
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
PHI -1.5·WSH +1.5
Moneyline
PHI -126·WSH +105
Total
9.5
Phillies
Away
Phillies
73-59
35-29 road
L
W
W
W
W
Nationals
Home
Nationals
62-71
28-36 home
W
L
L
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Phillies ML
-136· moderate risk
60%

Philadelphia carries a meaningfully better team ERA (4.13 vs 4.71) and superior offensive suppression (Opp OPS 0.725 vs 0.763), but both starters are struggling and the Nationals' 7-3 ATS run caps this at a LEAN rather than a PICK.

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Starting Pitchers

Aaron Nola
PHI
Aaron Nola
(5-9, 5.12)
5.12
ERA
Miles Mikolas
WSH
Miles Mikolas
(3-9, 5.82)
5.82
ERA

Season Series — PHI 8 - WSH 3

PHI 7-3 WSH
Aug 6
PHI 10-4 WSH
Aug 5
PHI 5-0 WSH
Aug 4
PHI 6-3 WSH
Aug 3
PHI 10-5 WSH
Jun 25
PHI 5-4 WSH
Jun 24
PHI 14-9 WSH
Jun 23
PHI 4-1 WSH
Jun 22
PHI 6-5 WSH
Apr 1
PHI 3-2 WSH
Mar 31
PHI 13-2 WSH
Mar 30

Batting

0.243
#17
AVG
0.248
#9
0.718
#16
OPS
0.754
#3
158
#11
HR
183
#1
599
#10
R
682
#2
580
#9
RBI
652
#1
95
#12
SB
139
#1

Pitching

4.11
#14
ERA
4.68
#27
1.300
#17
WHIP
1.390
#26
1290
#1
K
1013
#25
394
#7
BB
467
#20
56
#3
QS
29
#27
35
#14
SV
33
#16

Bullpen & Advanced

10.0
#1
K/9
7.8
#24
0.250
#22
OPP AVG
0.257
#27
0.722
#19
OPP OPS
0.761
#27
57
#25
HLD
67
#19

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

54-78
Overall ATS
76-57
25-39
Away/Home ATS
33-31
47-60
As Favorite
14-11
7-18
As Underdog
62-46
0-0-8
Over/Under
0-0-8
7-3
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.9
Avg margin: +0.2
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +0.9
Avg margin: +0.2

Scoring

4.55
R/G
5.23
4.40
RA/G
5.08
0.2
DIFF
0.1

Injury Report

PHIDerek HillCF
Day-To-Day
PHIFelix ReyesLF
60-Day-IL
PHITanner BanksRP
60-Day-IL
PHIRafael MarchanC
10-Day-IL
PHICaleb KilianRP
15-Day-IL
PHIBrad KellerRP
60-Day-IL
PHIJohan RojasCF
60-Day-IL
PHIAdolis GarciaRF
60-Day-IL
WSHJosiah GraySP
60-Day-IL
WSHConnelly EarlySP
60-Day-IL
WSHJames WoodRF
10-Day-IL
WSHDJ HerzSP
60-Day-IL
WSHDrew MillasC
10-Day-IL
WSHRichard LoveladyRP
60-Day-IL
WSHPJ PoulinRP
60-Day-IL
WSHMitchell ParkerRP
60-Day-IL