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MLB Matchup

Phillies @ Nationals

Wed, Jun 24 10:45 PMNationals ParkMLB.TV
Final
PHI 5 - 4 WSH
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
PHI -1.5·WSH +1.5
Moneyline
PHI -126·WSH +105
Total
9.5
Phillies
Away
Phillies
52-42
27-21 road
W
L
W
L
L
Nationals
Home
Nationals
48-46
20-28 home
W
L
W
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Phillies ML
-136· moderate risk
60%

Philadelphia carries a meaningfully better team ERA (4.13 vs 4.71) and superior offensive suppression (Opp OPS 0.725 vs 0.763), but both starters are struggling and the Nationals' 7-3 ATS run caps this at a LEAN rather than a PICK.

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Starting Pitchers

Aaron Nola
PHI
Aaron Nola
(3-6, 5.87)
5.87
ERA
Miles Mikolas
WSH
Miles Mikolas
(3-7, 5.78)
5.78
ERA

Season Series — PHI 5 - WSH 2

PHI 10-5 WSH
Jun 25
PHI 5-4 WSH
Jun 24
PHI 14-9 WSH
Jun 23
PHI 4-1 WSH
Jun 22
PHI 6-5 WSH
Apr 1
PHI 3-2 WSH
Mar 31
PHI 13-2 WSH
Mar 30

Batting

0.237
#22
AVG
0.251
#8
0.707
#21
OPS
0.760
#3
123
#6
HR
132
#2
413
#17
R
508
#1
398
#17
RBI
484
#1
70
#12
SB
100
#1

Pitching

4.24
#16
ERA
4.76
#26
1.320
#17
WHIP
1.390
#24
919
#1
K
744
#21
271
#6
BB
330
#19
40
#4
QS
18
#28
28
#4
SV
27
#8

Bullpen & Advanced

9.9
#1
K/9
7.9
#24
0.256
#26
OPP AVG
0.259
#27
0.732
#20
OPP OPS
0.759
#26
38
#25
HLD
52
#12

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

35-59
Overall ATS
57-37
17-31
Away/Home ATS
24-24
31-44
As Favorite
6-6
4-15
As Underdog
51-31
0-0-5
Over/Under
0-0-6
4-6
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.9
Avg margin: -0.1
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +1.1
Avg margin: +0.1

Scoring

4.39
R/G
5.40
4.49
RA/G
5.27
-0.1
DIFF
0.1

Injury Report

PHIJustin CrawfordCF
Day-To-Day
PHITanner BanksRP
15-Day-IL
PHILou TrivinoRP
15-Day-IL
PHIJohan RojasCF
60-Day-IL
PHIAdolis GarciaRF
60-Day-IL
WSHBrad LordRP
15-Day-IL
WSHTrevor WilliamsSP
60-Day-IL
WSHJake IrvinSP
15-Day-IL
WSHMitchell ParkerRP
60-Day-IL
WSHRichard LoveladyRP
15-Day-IL
WSHDJ HerzSP
60-Day-IL
WSHMax KranickRP
60-Day-IL
WSHKen WaldichukRP
60-Day-IL