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MLB Matchup

Phillies @ Red Sox

Thu, May 14 10:45 PMFenway ParkMLB.TV
Final
PHI 3 - 1 BOS
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
PHI -1.5·BOS +1.5
Moneyline
PHI -102·BOS -118
Total
7
Phillies
Away
Phillies
26-27
12-11 road
L
W
L
L
L
Red Sox
Home
Red Sox
22-30
8-17 home
L
L
L
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Red Sox ML
-110· moderate risk
68%

Ranger Suarez's 2.77 ERA dwarfs Jesus Luzardo's 5.77 ERA — a 3.00-run differential that is the single clearest edge in this matchup and far exceeds the 1.5-run threshold for a significant starter advantage.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Jesus Luzardo
PHI
Jesus Luzardo
(3-4, 4.85)
4.85
ERA
Ranger Suarez
BOS
Ranger Suarez
(2-2, 2.40)
2.40
ERA

Season Series — PHI 2 - BOS 1

PHI 3-1 BOS
May 14
PHI 3-1 BOS
May 13
PHI 2-1 BOS
May 12

Batting

0.230
#24
AVG
0.239
#15
0.684
#25
OPS
0.676
#27
62
#9
HR
36
#29
212
#22
R
189
#29
208
#20
RBI
181
#29
41
#12
SB
37
#15

Pitching

4.16
#18
ERA
3.71
#9
1.330
#19
WHIP
1.240
#10
493
#2
K
421
#18
145
#2
BB
157
#6
22
#5
QS
19
#9
13
#14
SV
12
#21

Bullpen & Advanced

9.5
#2
K/9
8.4
#16
0.261
#28
OPP AVG
0.237
#13
0.719
#19
OPP OPS
0.694
#13
17
#27
HLD
27
#19

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

17-36
Overall ATS
20-32
8-15
Away/Home ATS
7-18
14-28
As Favorite
13-23
3-8
As Underdog
7-9
0-0-2
Over/Under
0-0-1
6-4
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.3%
Avg spread: -0.9
Avg margin: -0.5
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.6
Avg margin: -0.3

Scoring

4.02
R/G
3.73
4.47
RA/G
4.04
-0.5
DIFF
-0.3

Injury Report

PHIKyle BackhusRP
15-Day-IL
PHIZach PopRP
15-Day-IL
PHIKeaton Anthony1B
Day-To-Day
PHIRene PintoC
Day-To-Day
PHIDaniel RobertRP
Day-To-Day
PHIMax LazarRP
60-Day-IL
PHIAndrew Bechtold3B
Day-To-Day
PHIMark KolozsvaryC
Day-To-Day
BOSRomy Gonzalez1B
60-Day-IL
BOSGarrett CrochetSP
15-Day-IL
BOSTrevor StorySS
10-Day-IL
BOSRoman AnthonyLF
10-Day-IL
BOSKutter CrawfordSP
60-Day-IL
BOSTanner HouckSP
60-Day-IL
BOSHobie HarrisRP
Day-To-Day
BOSTriston Casas1B
60-Day-IL