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MLB Matchup

Phillies @ Twins

Sun, Aug 16 6:10 PMTarget FieldMLB.TV
Final
PHI 7 - 5 MIN
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
PHI -1.5·MIN +1.5
Moneyline
PHI -108·MIN +101
Total
9.5
Phillies
Away
Phillies
73-58
35-28 road
W
W
W
W
W
Twins
Home
Twins
63-68
35-31 home
L
L
L
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Phillies ML
-108· moderate risk
68%

Philadelphia holds a meaningful pitching edge with Painter's 6.27 ERA vs Kremer's 5.25 ERA being close, but the Phillies' superior team ERA (4.15 vs 4.65), better overall record (.532 vs .484), and dominant series form (outscored Minnesota 16-2 in the prior two games) point directionally toward Philadelphia.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Andrew Painter
PHI
Andrew Painter
(3-8, 6.04)
6.04
ERA
Dean Kremer
MIN
Dean Kremer
(2-4, 5.22)
5.22
ERA

Season Series — PHI 3 - MIN 0

PHI 7-5 MIN
Aug 16
PHI 9-1 MIN
Aug 15
PHI 7-1 MIN
Aug 13

Batting

0.243
#17
AVG
0.245
#13
0.718
#16
OPS
0.723
#12
158
#11
HR
151
#15
599
#10
R
600
#9
580
#9
RBI
572
#10
95
#12
SB
74
#18

Pitching

4.11
#14
ERA
4.66
#26
1.300
#17
WHIP
1.390
#26
1290
#1
K
1081
#17
394
#7
BB
481
#22
56
#3
QS
43
#17
35
#14
SV
37
#9

Bullpen & Advanced

10.0
#1
K/9
8.4
#17
0.250
#22
OPP AVG
0.252
#25
0.722
#19
OPP OPS
0.744
#25
57
#25
HLD
89
#4

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

54-77
Overall ATS
69-62
25-38
Away/Home ATS
34-32
47-59
As Favorite
11-26
7-18
As Underdog
58-36
0-0-8
Over/Under
0-0-11
7-3
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.9
Avg margin: +0.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.7
Avg margin: -0.4

Scoring

4.57
R/G
4.58
4.37
RA/G
4.99
0.2
DIFF
-0.4

Injury Report

PHIBryson Stott2B
Day-To-Day
PHIAlec Bohm3B
Day-To-Day
PHILuis Arraez2B
Day-To-Day
PHIDerek HillCF
Day-To-Day
PHIFelix ReyesLF
60-Day-IL
PHITanner BanksRP
60-Day-IL
PHIRafael MarchanC
10-Day-IL
PHICaleb KilianRP
15-Day-IL
MINJoe RyanSP
15-Day-IL
MINAustin MartinRF
10-Day-IL
MINMike ParedesSP
60-Day-IL
MINCole SandsRP
60-Day-IL
MINDavid FestaSP
60-Day-IL
MINMick AbelSP
60-Day-IL
MINAnthony BandaRP
15-Day-IL
MINPablo LopezSP
60-Day-IL