AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Pirates @ Giants

Sat, May 9 2:15 AMOracle ParkMLB.TV
Final
PIT 2 - 5 SF
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
PIT -1.5·SF +1.5
Moneyline
PIT -105·SF -115
Total
8
Pirates
Away
Pirates
27-26
14-13 road
W
L
L
W
W
Giants
Home
Giants
22-31
12-13 home
W
W
L
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Pirates ML
-105· moderate risk
68%

Pittsburgh holds a +1.8 run differential edge over San Francisco and carries a superior .553 win percentage against a Giants team sitting at just .378, but Robbie Ray's 2.95 ERA provides a meaningful pitching counterweight that prevents this from reaching PICK threshold.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Carmen Mlodzinski
PIT
Carmen Mlodzinski
(4-3, 3.96)
3.96
ERA
Robbie Ray
SF
Robbie Ray
(3-6, 4.60)
4.60
ERA

Season Series — PIT 1 - SF 2

PIT 7-6 SF
May 10
PIT 13-3 SF
May 10
PIT 5-2 SF
May 9

Batting

0.251
#4
AVG
0.246
#6
0.717
#10
OPS
0.675
#28
52
#17
HR
44
#26
252
#4
R
187
#30
241
#4
RBI
181
#29
46
#8
SB
12
#30

Pitching

3.89
#13
ERA
4.21
#21
1.230
#9
WHIP
1.340
#20
464
#7
K
411
#23
184
#16
BB
193
#23
19
#9
QS
19
#9
8
#28
SV
9
#26

Bullpen & Advanced

8.9
#8
K/9
8.0
#22
0.227
#8
OPP AVG
0.245
#21
0.676
#8
OPP OPS
0.720
#20
29
#14
HLD
28
#16

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

27-26
Overall ATS
22-30
14-13
Away/Home ATS
11-13
15-17
As Favorite
3-11
12-9
As Underdog
19-19
0-0-2
Over/Under
0-0-3
4-6
Last 10 ATS
3-7
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.3
Avg margin: +0.4
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: +0.7
Avg margin: -1.0

Scoring

4.83
R/G
3.68
4.42
RA/G
4.57
0.4
DIFF
-0.9

Injury Report

PITJared JonesSP
60-Day-IL
PITChris DevenskiRP
15-Day-IL
PITRyan O'HearnRF
10-Day-IL
PITJoey BartC
10-Day-IL
PITAnthony SolometoSP
Day-To-Day
PITOddanier MosquedaRP
Day-To-Day
PITMike ClevingerRP
Day-To-Day
PITSean SullivanSP
Day-To-Day
SFLogan WebbSP
15-Day-IL
SFJung Hoo LeeRF
10-Day-IL
SFHeliot RamosLF
10-Day-IL
SFReiver SanmartinRP
60-Day-IL
SFJason FoleyRP
60-Day-IL
SFJared OlivaCF
60-Day-IL
SFRowan WickRP
60-Day-IL
SFHayden BirdsongRP
60-Day-IL