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MLB Matchup

Pirates @ Phillies

Mon, Jun 29 10:40 PMCitizens Bank ParkNBC Sports Phil
Final
PIT 11 - 7 PHI
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
PIT +1.5·PHI -1.5
Moneyline
PIT -107·PHI -112
Total
9
Pirates
Away
Pirates
63-69
29-37 road
L
L
L
W
W
Phillies
Home
Phillies
73-59
38-30 home
L
W
W
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Pirates ML
-110· moderate risk
68%

Braxton Ashcraft's 3.07 ERA represents a massive 2.51-run advantage over Aaron Nola's 5.58 ERA, the single clearest edge in this matchup.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Braxton Ashcraft
PIT
Braxton Ashcraft
(13-5, 3.68)
3.68
ERA
Aaron Nola
PHI
Aaron Nola
(5-9, 5.12)
5.12
ERA

Season Series — PIT 2 - PHI 5

PIT 6-1 PHI
Jul 2
PIT 10-6 PHI
Jul 1
PIT 8-0 PHI
Jun 30
PIT 11-7 PHI
Jun 29
PIT 6-0 PHI
May 17
PIT 6-0 PHI
May 16
PIT 11-9 PHI
May 15

Batting

0.254
#3
AVG
0.243
#17
0.738
#4
OPS
0.718
#16
156
#12
HR
158
#11
653
#3
R
599
#10
623
#3
RBI
580
#9
109
#8
SB
95
#12

Pitching

4.29
#22
ERA
4.11
#14
1.320
#19
WHIP
1.300
#17
1226
#3
K
1290
#1
487
#25
BB
394
#7
39
#23
QS
56
#3
25
#27
SV
35
#14

Bullpen & Advanced

9.4
#4
K/9
10.0
#1
0.240
#15
OPP AVG
0.250
#22
0.711
#13
OPP OPS
0.722
#19
51
#28
HLD
57
#25

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

65-67
Overall ATS
54-78
32-34
Away/Home ATS
29-39
31-38
As Favorite
47-60
34-29
As Underdog
7-18
0-0-4
Over/Under
0-0-8
6-4
Last 10 ATS
7-3
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.1
Avg margin: +0.2
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.9
Avg margin: +0.2

Scoring

4.95
R/G
4.55
4.76
RA/G
4.40
0.1
DIFF
0.2

Injury Report

PITKonnor GriffinSS
60-Day-IL
PITEndy RodriguezC
10-Day-IL
PITRyan O'HearnRF
10-Day-IL
PITMitch KellerSP
60-Day-IL
PHIDerek HillCF
Day-To-Day
PHIFelix ReyesLF
60-Day-IL
PHITanner BanksRP
60-Day-IL
PHIRafael MarchanC
10-Day-IL
PHICaleb KilianRP
15-Day-IL
PHIBrad KellerRP
60-Day-IL
PHIJohan RojasCF
60-Day-IL
PHIAdolis GarciaRF
60-Day-IL