AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Pirates @ Rangers

Thu, Apr 23 12:05 AMGlobe Life FieldMLB.TV
Final
PIT 8 - 4 TEX
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
PIT -1.5·TEX +1.5
Moneyline
PIT -118·TEX -102
Total
7.5
Pirates
Away
Pirates
14-10
6-5 road
W
L
W
L
W
Rangers
Home
Rangers
12-12
4-4 home
L
W
L
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Pirates ML
-112· moderate risk
62%

Braxton Ashcraft's 2.38 ERA gives Pittsburgh a meaningful starter advantage over Jack Leiter's 4.87 ERA — a 2.49-run delta that is the clearest directional signal in this matchup.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Braxton Ashcraft
PIT
Braxton Ashcraft
(1-1, 2.43)
2.43
ERA
Jack Leiter
TEX
Jack Leiter
(1-1, 4.97)
4.97
ERA

Season Series — PIT 1 - TEX 1

PIT 8-4 TEX
Apr 23
PIT 5-1 TEX
Apr 22

Batting

0.250
#10
AVG
0.239
#15
0.727
#8
OPS
0.707
#14
27
#10
HR
25
#16
122
#7
R
101
#19
118
#6
RBI
96
#21
24
#7
SB
14
#19

Pitching

3.33
#3
ERA
3.61
#9
1.270
#11
WHIP
1.270
#11
227
#6
K
219
#10
98
#23
BB
82
#11
10
#7
QS
6
#17
4
#25
SV
6
#15

Bullpen & Advanced

9.2
#7
K/9
9.4
#6
0.224
#6
OPP AVG
0.234
#14
0.654
#6
OPP OPS
0.679
#10
20
#2
HLD
19
#5

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

15-9
Overall ATS
13-11
7-4
Away/Home ATS
4-4
6-6
As Favorite
3-6
9-3
As Underdog
10-5
0-0
Over/Under
0-0-2
6-4
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg margin: +1.0
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.4
Avg margin: +0.4

Scoring

5.08
R/G
4.21
4.04
RA/G
3.79
1.1
DIFF
0.4

Injury Report

PITSean SullivanSP
Day-To-Day
PITDominic FletcherRF
Day-To-Day
PITAnthony SolometoSP
Day-To-Day
PITMike ClevingerRP
Day-To-Day
PITJared TrioloSS
10-Day-IL
PITJared JonesSP
60-Day-IL
PITOddanier MosquedaRP
Day-To-Day
TEXWyatt LangfordLF
10-Day-IL
TEXCarter BaumlerRP
15-Day-IL
TEXCody BradfordSP
60-Day-IL
TEXRobert GarciaRP
Day-To-Day
TEXLuis CurveloRP
15-Day-IL
TEXChris MartinRP
15-Day-IL
TEXCody Freeman3B
10-Day-IL
TEXSebastian WalcottSS
Day-To-Day