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MLB Matchup

Rangers @ Astros

Sat, May 16 12:10 AMDaikin ParkMLB.TV
Final
TEX 0 - 2 HOU
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
TEX -1.5·HOU +1.5
Moneyline
TEX -114·HOU -105
Total
8.5
Rangers
Away
Rangers
24-27
13-17 road
L
L
W
W
L
Astros
Home
Astros
23-31
12-14 home
W
W
W
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Rangers ML
-112· high risk
72%

Spencer Arrighetti's 1.88 ERA is elite and dominates this matchup, but Texas carries a +1.0 run differential edge, a far superior team ERA (3.63 vs 5.59), and Houston is a historically bad home ATS team this season at 9-14 (.391).

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Starting Pitchers

Jack Leiter
TEX
Jack Leiter
(1-4, 4.61)
4.61
ERA
Spencer Arrighetti
HOU
Spencer Arrighetti
(6-1, 1.32)
1.32
ERA

Season Series — TEX 1 - HOU 2

TEX 8-0 HOU
May 17
TEX 4-1 HOU
May 16
TEX 2-0 HOU
May 16

Batting

0.237
#18
AVG
0.246
#6
0.698
#16
OPS
0.723
#7
49
#19
HR
63
#7
200
#26
R
225
#17
191
#27
RBI
215
#18
23
#26
SB
17
#29

Pitching

3.67
#8
ERA
5.18
#30
1.220
#7
WHIP
1.500
#30
422
#17
K
446
#12
162
#10
BB
257
#30
15
#20
QS
13
#22
11
#23
SV
13
#14

Bullpen & Advanced

8.6
#13
K/9
8.6
#13
0.226
#5
OPP AVG
0.251
#25
0.671
#6
OPP OPS
0.778
#29
26
#21
HLD
22
#23

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

24-27
Overall ATS
23-31
12-18
Away/Home ATS
11-15
8-17
As Favorite
5-14
16-10
As Underdog
18-17
0-0-4
Over/Under
0-0-3
4-6
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg margin: +0.1
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: +0.4
Avg margin: -0.9

Scoring

3.92
R/G
4.31
3.78
RA/G
5.20
0.1
DIFF
-0.9

Injury Report

TEXCorey SeagerSS
10-Day-IL
TEXCole WinnRP
15-Day-IL
TEXJosh Jung3B
Day-To-Day
TEXWyatt LangfordLF
10-Day-IL
TEXCarter BaumlerRP
60-Day-IL
TEXCody Freeman3B
10-Day-IL
TEXJosh Smith2B
10-Day-IL
TEXCody BradfordSP
60-Day-IL
HOUYordan AlvarezDH
Day-To-Day
HOUJoey LoperfidoLF
10-Day-IL
HOUJose Altuve2B
10-Day-IL
HOUHunter BrownSP
60-Day-IL
HOUTaylor TrammellCF
10-Day-IL
HOULance McCullers Jr.SP
15-Day-IL
HOUJosh HaderRP
60-Day-IL
HOUCarlos CorreaSS
10-Day-IL