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MLB Matchup

Rangers @ Astros

Sat, May 16 12:10 AMDaikin ParkMLB.TV
Final
TEX 0 - 2 HOU
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
TEX +1.5·HOU -1.5
Moneyline
TEX -114·HOU -105
Total
8.5
Rangers
Away
Rangers
66-66
30-37 road
W
W
L
W
W
Astros
Home
Astros
65-66
33-35 home
L
L
W
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Rangers ML
-112· high risk
72%

Spencer Arrighetti's 1.88 ERA is elite and dominates this matchup, but Texas carries a +1.0 run differential edge, a far superior team ERA (3.63 vs 5.59), and Houston is a historically bad home ATS team this season at 9-14 (.391).

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Jack Leiter
TEX
Jack Leiter
(3-7, 5.29)
5.29
ERA
Spencer Arrighetti
HOU
Spencer Arrighetti
(7-6, 4.73)
4.73
ERA

Season Series — TEX 4 - HOU 9

TEX 7-3 HOU
Aug 2
TEX 5-4 HOU
Aug 1
TEX 11-2 HOU
Aug 1
TEX 6-5 HOU
Jul 12
TEX 9-3 HOU
Jul 11
TEX 7-3 HOU
Jul 11
TEX 5-1 HOU
May 29
TEX 4-3 HOU
May 28
TEX 10-7 HOU
May 27
TEX 9-0 HOU
May 25
TEX 8-0 HOU
May 17
TEX 4-1 HOU
May 16
TEX 2-0 HOU
May 16

Batting

0.241
#20
AVG
0.242
#18
0.706
#23
OPS
0.727
#10
143
#20
HR
173
#5
521
#28
R
596
#12
502
#27
RBI
567
#13
63
#26
SB
40
#29

Pitching

4.19
#20
ERA
4.63
#25
1.290
#14
WHIP
1.360
#24
1104
#14
K
1149
#10
387
#5
BB
540
#29
42
#18
QS
36
#25
37
#9
SV
39
#5

Bullpen & Advanced

8.7
#11
K/9
8.9
#9
0.247
#18
OPP AVG
0.240
#15
0.723
#20
OPP OPS
0.739
#24
66
#20
HLD
65
#21

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

58-74
Overall ATS
63-68
27-40
Away/Home ATS
32-36
25-49
As Favorite
24-42
33-25
As Underdog
39-26
0-0-9
Over/Under
0-0-7
5-5
Last 10 ATS
2-8
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.2
Avg margin: -0.3
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg margin: -0.3

Scoring

4.03
R/G
4.55
4.31
RA/G
4.89
-0.3
DIFF
-0.4

Injury Report

TEXJosh Jung3B
10-Day-IL
TEXRobert GarciaRP
60-Day-IL
TEXJack LeiterSP
60-Day-IL
TEXNathan EovaldiSP
15-Day-IL
TEXJose CorniellRP
60-Day-IL
TEXJalen BeeksRP
60-Day-IL
TEXKyle HigashiokaC
10-Day-IL
TEXMichael HelmanCF
60-Day-IL
HOUMike BurrowsSP
15-Day-IL
HOUBrice MatthewsCF
60-Day-IL
HOUCarlos CorreaSS
60-Day-IL
HOUBrandon WalterSP
60-Day-IL