MLB Matchup

Rangers @ Astros

Sat, May 16 11:10 PMDaikin ParkMLB.TV

Final

TEX 1 - 4 HOU

Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings

Run Line

TEX -1.5·HOU +1.5

Moneyline

TEX -155·HOU +128

Total

7.5

$Rangers$

Away

Rangers

80-82

35-46 road

Home

Astros

81-81

39-42 home

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation

Rangers ML

-112· high risk

72%

Spencer Arrighetti's 1.88 ERA is elite and dominates this matchup, but Texas carries a +1.0 run differential edge, a far superior team ERA (3.63 vs 5.59), and Houston is a historically bad home ATS team this season at 9-14 (.391).

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

TEX

Jacob deGrom

(11-11, 4.20)

4.20

ERA

HOU

Kai-Wei Teng

(5-7, 4.76)

4.76

ERA

Batting

0.242

#17

AVG

0.169

#28

0.713

#17

OPS

0.582

#28

183

#23

673

#17

#28

649

#17

RBI

#28

#18

#28

Pitching

4.32

#19

ERA

5.50

#26

1.300

#16

WHIP

1.500

#27

1337

#11

#26

497

#13

#14

#27

#25

Bullpen & Advanced

8.5

#14

K/9

10.5

0.248

#17

OPP AVG

0.271

#26

0.726

#18

OPP OPS

0.729

#21

#16

HLD

#26

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

75-87

Overall ATS

0-2

33-48

Away/Home ATS

0-2

30-57

As Favorite

0-2

45-30

As Underdog

0-0

0-0-11

Over/Under

0-0

5-5

Last 10 ATS

0-2

ATS Win%

0.5%

Avg spread: -0.1

Avg margin: -0.3

ATS Win%

0.0%

Avg spread: -1.5

Avg margin: -3.5

Scoring

4.15

R/G

4.53

4.44

RA/G

4.73

-0.2

DIFF

-0.2

Injury Report

TEXDanny JansenC

Out

TEXJosh Jung3B

10-Day-IL

TEXCorey SeagerSS

Out

TEXJoc PedersonDH

10-Day-IL

TEXCal QuantrillRP

60-Day-IL

TEXJack LeiterSP

60-Day-IL

TEXMichel OtanezRP

15-Day-IL

TEXCole WinnRP

60-Day-IL

HOUEnyel De Los SantosRP

Out

HOUCristian JavierSP

Out

HOUBrice MatthewsCF

Out

HOUDaulton VarshoCF

Out

HOUMike BurrowsSP

60-Day-IL

HOUJake MeyersCF

60-Day-IL

HOUCarlos CorreaSS

60-Day-IL

HOUBrandon WalterSP

60-Day-IL