AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Rangers @ Guardians

Mon, Jun 29 11:00 PMProgressive FieldESPN
Final
TEX 6 - 3 CLE
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
TEX +1.5·CLE -1.5
Moneyline
TEX +130·CLE -157
Total
7.5
Rangers
Away
Rangers
47-46
25-25 road
W
L
W
L
L
Guardians
Home
Guardians
49-46
24-22 home
W
W
L
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Guardians ML
-149· moderate risk
62%

Cleveland holds a meaningful ATS structural edge at home (.564 ATS, 22-17) against a Rangers team that covers at just .426 on the road (20-27), and Parker Messick's 7-4 record with a 2.67 ERA gives Cleveland a slight but real pitching advantage over Tyler Alexander (1-1, 2.62) in terms of track record and workload.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Tyler Alexander
TEX
Tyler Alexander
(1-1, 2.35)
2.35
ERA
Parker Messick
CLE
Parker Messick
(8-5, 2.73)
2.73
ERA

Season Series — TEX 4 - CLE 2

TEX 9-4 CLE
Jul 1
TEX 4-2 CLE
Jun 30
TEX 6-3 CLE
Jun 29
TEX 10-0 CLE
Jun 7
TEX 6-0 CLE
Jun 6
TEX 3-2 CLE
Jun 6

Batting

0.244
#13
AVG
0.228
#28
0.714
#18
OPS
0.679
#29
103
#21
HR
90
#26
383
#25
R
373
#28
368
#24
RBI
356
#28
45
#23
SB
85
#8

Pitching

4.08
#12
ERA
3.78
#8
1.250
#10
WHIP
1.270
#12
798
#12
K
849
#5
266
#4
BB
310
#14
30
#16
QS
32
#12
28
#4
SV
30
#2

Bullpen & Advanced

8.8
#9
K/9
9.2
#3
0.241
#16
OPP AVG
0.238
#10
0.704
#12
OPP OPS
0.702
#11
45
#18
HLD
75
#1

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

43-50
Overall ATS
49-45
22-28
Away/Home ATS
24-22
18-32
As Favorite
15-31
25-18
As Underdog
34-14
0-0-7
Over/Under
0-0
5-5
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.1
Avg margin: -0.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg margin: -0.1

Scoring

4.12
R/G
3.96
4.27
RA/G
4.04
-0.2
DIFF
0.0

Injury Report

TEXJacob deGromSP
Day-To-Day
TEXCody BradfordSP
60-Day-IL
TEXDanny JansenC
10-Day-IL
TEXJakob JunisRP
15-Day-IL
TEXJalen BeeksRP
15-Day-IL
TEXCorey SeagerSS
10-Day-IL
TEXJordan MontgomerySP
60-Day-IL
TEXCody Freeman3B
10-Day-IL
CLETim HerrinRP
15-Day-IL
CLEJose Ramirez3B
10-Day-IL
CLEAngel MartinezLF
10-Day-IL