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MLB Matchup

Rays @ Orioles

Fri, Aug 21 11:15 PMOriole Park at Camden YardsApple TV
Final
TB 3 - 5 BAL
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
TB +1.5·BAL -1.5
Moneyline
TB +106·BAL -114
Total
7.5
Rays
Away
Rays
77-53
34-30 road
W
L
L
L
W
Orioles
Home
Orioles
63-68
34-34 home
L
W
W
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Rays ML
+116· moderate risk
60%

Tampa Bay holds a significant pitching staff advantage (3.86 ERA vs 4.23, 0.694 opp OPS allowed vs 0.733) and a superior overall record (.598 vs .477), while getting plus-money as the underdog despite being the better team by most metrics.

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Starting Pitchers

Freddy Peralta
TB
Freddy Peralta
(5-11, 5.33)
5.33
ERA
Trevor Rogers
BAL
Trevor Rogers
(9-8, 4.14)
4.14
ERA

Season Series — TB 5 - BAL 8

TB 3-1 BAL
Aug 23
TB 3-2 BAL
Aug 22
TB 5-3 BAL
Aug 21
TB 7-6 BAL
Aug 17
TB 10-2 BAL
Aug 16
TB 4-3 BAL
Aug 15
TB 6-5 BAL
Aug 14
TB 11-2 BAL
May 27
TB 6-1 BAL
May 26
TB 9-7 BAL
May 25
TB 5-3 BAL
May 20
TB 4-1 BAL
May 19
TB 16-6 BAL
May 18

Batting

0.261
#1
AVG
0.236
#24
0.735
#6
OPS
0.716
#18
135
#22
HR
158
#10
584
#13
R
582
#15
556
#16
RBI
562
#13
128
#4
SB
68
#21

Pitching

3.85
#8
ERA
4.20
#20
1.170
#3
WHIP
1.340
#22
1056
#19
K
1035
#23
329
#1
BB
430
#14
39
#22
QS
51
#7
50
#1
SV
34
#15

Bullpen & Advanced

8.3
#19
K/9
8.1
#23
0.234
#8
OPP AVG
0.254
#26
0.694
#9
OPP OPS
0.731
#22
97
#2
HLD
68
#17

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

71-59
Overall ATS
69-62
35-29
Away/Home ATS
36-32
49-47
As Favorite
25-35
22-12
As Underdog
44-27
0-0-5
Over/Under
0-0-5
1-9
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +0.3
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.1
Avg margin: -0.3

Scoring

4.52
R/G
4.45
4.18
RA/G
4.72
0.3
DIFF
-0.2

Injury Report

TBGriffin JaxSP
15-Day-IL
TBCole SulserRP
15-Day-IL
TBEdwin UcetaRP
60-Day-IL
TBJake FraleyRF
60-Day-IL
TBGavin LuxLF
60-Day-IL
TBBen Williamson2B
10-Day-IL
TBJonathan HeasleyRP
60-Day-IL
TBRyan PepiotSP
60-Day-IL
BALFelix BautistaRP
60-Day-IL
BALBlaze Alexander3B
10-Day-IL
BALRyan HelsleyRP
60-Day-IL
BALColin SelbyRP
60-Day-IL
BALRyan Mountcastle1B
60-Day-IL
BALKeegan AkinRP
60-Day-IL
BALJordan Westburg3B
60-Day-IL
BALZach EflinSP
60-Day-IL