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MLB Matchup

Rays @ Red Sox

Sat, May 9 8:10 PMFenway ParkMLB.TV

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
TB +1.5·BOS -1.5
Moneyline
TB +119·BOS -143
Total
7.5
Rays
Away
Rays
34-16
15-11 road
L
W
W
W
W
Red Sox
Home
Red Sox
22-30
8-17 home
L
L
L
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Rays ML
+129· moderate risk
62%

Tampa Bay holds a dominant ATS edge (24-14, .632 overall; 7-3 last 10) against a Boston team that is a historically poor ATS performer at home this season (5-13, .278), while the Rays carry superior team-wide metrics across ERA, WHIP, OPS, and run differential.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Nick Martinez
TB
Nick Martinez
(4-1, 1.51)
1.51
ERA
Payton Tolle
BOS
Payton Tolle
(2-2, 2.45)
2.45
ERA

Season Series — TB 2 - BOS 1

TB 4-1 BOS
May 10
TB 2-0 BOS
May 8
TB 8-4 BOS
May 7

Batting

0.261
#2
AVG
0.239
#15
0.724
#6
OPS
0.676
#27
41
#28
HR
36
#29
236
#9
R
189
#29
222
#11
RBI
181
#29
53
#4
SB
37
#15

Pitching

3.54
#5
ERA
3.71
#9
1.190
#4
WHIP
1.240
#10
381
#28
K
421
#18
152
#4
BB
157
#6
15
#20
QS
19
#9
23
#1
SV
12
#21

Bullpen & Advanced

7.7
#27
K/9
8.4
#16
0.227
#8
OPP AVG
0.237
#13
0.667
#5
OPP OPS
0.694
#13
42
#2
HLD
27
#19

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

32-18
Overall ATS
20-32
14-12
Away/Home ATS
7-18
19-10
As Favorite
13-23
13-8
As Underdog
7-9
0-0-3
Over/Under
0-0-1
6-4
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: -0.2
Avg margin: +0.8
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.6
Avg margin: -0.3

Scoring

4.72
R/G
3.73
3.92
RA/G
4.04
0.8
DIFF
-0.3

Injury Report

TBJonny DeLucaRF
10-Day-IL
TBBen Williamson2B
10-Day-IL
TBJake FraleyRF
10-Day-IL
TBCole SulserRP
15-Day-IL
TBGavin LuxLF
10-Day-IL
TBAustin VernonRP
Day-To-Day
TBSteven WilsonRP
60-Day-IL
TBLogan DriscollC
Day-To-Day
BOSRomy Gonzalez1B
60-Day-IL
BOSGarrett CrochetSP
15-Day-IL
BOSTrevor StorySS
10-Day-IL
BOSRoman AnthonyLF
10-Day-IL
BOSKutter CrawfordSP
60-Day-IL
BOSTanner HouckSP
60-Day-IL
BOSHobie HarrisRP
Day-To-Day
BOSTriston Casas1B
60-Day-IL