MLB Matchup

Reds @ Cubs

Thu, May 7 6:20 PMWrigley FieldMLB.TV

Final

CIN 3 - 8 CHC

Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings

Run Line

CIN +1.5·CHC -1.5

Moneyline

CIN +169·CHC -207

Total

Away

Reds

75-87

37-44 road

Home

Cubs

89-73

46-35 home

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation

Cubs ML

-199· moderate risk

72%

Imanaga's 2.40 ERA vs Lowder's 5.09 ERA is a 2.69-run gap — the single clearest edge in this matchup — but the -199 price demands 67% breakeven and limits this to a LEAN.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

CIN

Rhett Lowder

(7-12, 5.74)

5.74

ERA

CHC

Shota Imanaga

(11-10, 3.77)

3.77

ERA

Batting

0.229

#27

AVG

0.129

#29

0.699

#21

OPS

0.374

#30

213

#30

666

#19

#30

635

#20

RBI

#30

112

#27

Pitching

4.83

#24

ERA

6.19

#29

1.440

#25

WHIP

1.500

#27

1293

#16

#30

668

#30

#14

#27

#10

#25

Bullpen & Advanced

8.1

#21

K/9

7.3

#28

0.254

#24

OPP AVG

0.328

#29

0.770

#25

OPP OPS

0.925

#29

HLD

#26

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

82-80

Overall ATS

0-2

44-37

Away/Home ATS

0-0

19-25

As Favorite

0-0

63-55

As Underdog

0-2

0-0-4

Over/Under

0-0

6-4

Last 10 ATS

0-2

ATS Win%

0.5%

Avg spread: +0.7

Avg margin: -1.0

ATS Win%

0.0%

Avg spread: +1.5

Avg margin: -5.5

Scoring

4.11

R/G

5.25

5.10

RA/G

4.34

-1.0

DIFF

0.9

Injury Report

CINSpencer Steer1B

60-Day-IL

CINDane MyersCF

Out

CINTony SantillanRP

15-Day-IL

CINChase BurnsSP

15-Day-IL

CINJulian GarciaRP

15-Day-IL

CINBlake DunnCF

60-Day-IL

CINHunter GreeneSP

60-Day-IL

CHCJustin SteeleSP

60-Day-IL

CHCShelby MillerRP

60-Day-IL

CHCBen BrownRP

60-Day-IL

CHCPhil MatonRP

60-Day-IL

CHCRiley MartinRP

60-Day-IL

CHCHunter HarveyRP

60-Day-IL

CHCPorter HodgeRP

60-Day-IL

CHCCade HortonSP

60-Day-IL