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MLB Matchup

Reds @ Guardians

Fri, May 15 11:10 PMProgressive FieldMLB.TV
Final
CIN 7 - 6 CLE
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
CIN +1.5·CLE -1.5
Moneyline
CIN +118·CLE -142
Total
7.5
Reds
Away
Reds
27-25
13-13 road
W
L
W
W
L
Guardians
Home
Guardians
32-23
15-10 home
W
L
W
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Guardians ML
-137· moderate risk
62%

Cleveland's team ERA (3.81) and WHIP (1.27) are significantly better than Cincinnati's (4.61 / 1.46), and the Guardians are riding a 3-game win streak at home where they are 13-9 SU and 14-8 ATS.

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Starting Pitchers

Andrew Abbott
CIN
Andrew Abbott
(4-2, 3.97)
3.97
ERA
Tanner Bibee
CLE
Tanner Bibee
(0-6, 3.75)
3.75
ERA

Season Series — CIN 1 - CLE 2

CIN 10-3 CLE
May 17
CIN 7-4 CLE
May 16
CIN 7-6 CLE
May 15

Batting

0.227
#26
AVG
0.227
#26
0.703
#15
OPS
0.692
#20
66
#5
HR
54
#15
229
#13
R
229
#13
216
#16
RBI
219
#13
42
#11
SB
54
#2

Pitching

4.78
#25
ERA
3.59
#7
1.470
#29
WHIP
1.250
#12
402
#25
K
505
#1
244
#28
BB
185
#17
16
#18
QS
18
#13
13
#14
SV
20
#2

Bullpen & Advanced

7.8
#25
K/9
9.5
#2
0.249
#23
OPP AVG
0.232
#9
0.775
#27
OPP OPS
0.688
#12
39
#4
HLD
45
#1

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

30-22
Overall ATS
31-24
16-10
Away/Home ATS
16-9
9-8
As Favorite
13-16
21-14
As Underdog
18-8
0-0-1
Over/Under
0-0
5-5
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +0.5
Avg margin: -0.7
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: -0.1
Avg margin: +0.4

Scoring

4.40
R/G
4.22
5.06
RA/G
3.80
-0.7
DIFF
0.4

Injury Report

CINKe'Bryan Hayes3B
10-Day-IL
CINRhett LowderSP
15-Day-IL
CINEmilio PaganRP
15-Day-IL
CINJose TrevinoC
10-Day-IL
CINHunter GreeneSP
60-Day-IL
CINConnor BurnsC
Day-To-Day
CINJosh StaumontRP
Day-To-Day
CINBrandon WilliamsonSP
60-Day-IL
CLEGabriel AriasSS
10-Day-IL
CLECarlos HernandezRP
Day-To-Day