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MLB Matchup

Reds @ Phillies

Wed, May 20 5:05 PMCitizens Bank ParkMLB.TV
Final
CIN 9 - 4 PHI
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
CIN +1.5·PHI -1.5
Moneyline
CIN +130·PHI -157
Total
9.5
Reds
Away
Reds
27-25
13-13 road
W
L
W
W
L
Phillies
Home
Phillies
26-27
14-16 home
L
W
L
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Reds ML
+123· moderate risk
62%

Cincinnati holds a massive ATS structural edge (28-21 overall, 15-10 on the road) against a Phillies team that is a historically poor ATS performer at home (8-18, .308), and Abbott's 4.21 ERA offers a meaningful pitching advantage over Nola's bloated 5.91 ERA.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Andrew Abbott
CIN
Andrew Abbott
(4-2, 3.97)
3.97
ERA
Aaron Nola
PHI
Aaron Nola
(2-4, 6.04)
6.04
ERA

Season Series — CIN 2 - PHI 1

CIN 9-4 PHI
May 20
CIN 4-1 PHI
May 19
CIN 5-4 PHI
May 18

Batting

0.227
#26
AVG
0.230
#24
0.703
#15
OPS
0.684
#25
66
#5
HR
62
#9
229
#13
R
212
#22
216
#16
RBI
208
#20
42
#11
SB
41
#12

Pitching

4.78
#25
ERA
4.16
#18
1.470
#29
WHIP
1.330
#19
402
#25
K
493
#2
244
#28
BB
145
#2
16
#18
QS
22
#5
13
#14
SV
13
#14

Bullpen & Advanced

7.8
#25
K/9
9.5
#2
0.249
#23
OPP AVG
0.261
#28
0.775
#27
OPP OPS
0.719
#19
39
#4
HLD
17
#27

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

30-22
Overall ATS
17-36
16-10
Away/Home ATS
9-21
9-8
As Favorite
14-28
21-14
As Underdog
3-8
0-0-1
Over/Under
0-0-2
5-5
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +0.5
Avg margin: -0.7
ATS Win%
0.3%
Avg spread: -0.9
Avg margin: -0.5

Scoring

4.40
R/G
4.02
5.06
RA/G
4.47
-0.7
DIFF
-0.5

Injury Report

CINKe'Bryan Hayes3B
10-Day-IL
CINRhett LowderSP
15-Day-IL
CINEmilio PaganRP
15-Day-IL
CINJose TrevinoC
10-Day-IL
CINHunter GreeneSP
60-Day-IL
CINConnor BurnsC
Day-To-Day
CINJosh StaumontRP
Day-To-Day
CINBrandon WilliamsonSP
60-Day-IL
PHIKyle BackhusRP
15-Day-IL
PHIZach PopRP
15-Day-IL
PHIKeaton Anthony1B
Day-To-Day
PHIRene PintoC
Day-To-Day
PHIDaniel RobertRP
Day-To-Day
PHIMax LazarRP
60-Day-IL
PHIAndrew Bechtold3B
Day-To-Day
PHIMark KolozsvaryC
Day-To-Day