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MLB Matchup

Reds @ Pirates

Fri, May 1 10:45 PMPNC ParkApple TV
Final
CIN 1 - 9 PIT
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
CIN +1.5·PIT -1.5
Moneyline
CIN +117·PIT -141
Total
8
Reds
Away
Reds
27-25
13-13 road
W
L
W
W
L
Pirates
Home
Pirates
27-26
13-13 home
W
L
L
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Reds ML
+113· moderate risk
68%

Cincinnati is an elite road team at 10-3 ATS (.769) facing a Pittsburgh squad on a 5-game losing streak with a significant ERA disadvantage in the starter matchup (Singer 4.97 vs Keller 3.18 cuts against CIN, but team-level and momentum data strongly favor the Reds).

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Starting Pitchers

Brady Singer
CIN
Brady Singer
(2-4, 6.26)
6.26
ERA
Mitch Keller
PIT
Mitch Keller
(5-2, 3.64)
3.64
ERA

Season Series — CIN 1 - PIT 5

CIN 1-0 PIT
May 3
CIN 17-7 PIT
May 2
CIN 9-1 PIT
May 1
CIN 8-3 PIT
Apr 1
CIN 8-3 PIT
Mar 31
CIN 2-0 PIT
Mar 30

Batting

0.227
#26
AVG
0.251
#4
0.703
#15
OPS
0.717
#10
66
#5
HR
52
#17
229
#13
R
252
#4
216
#16
RBI
241
#4
42
#11
SB
46
#8

Pitching

4.78
#25
ERA
3.89
#13
1.470
#29
WHIP
1.230
#9
402
#25
K
464
#7
244
#28
BB
184
#16
16
#18
QS
19
#9
13
#14
SV
8
#28

Bullpen & Advanced

7.8
#25
K/9
8.9
#8
0.249
#23
OPP AVG
0.227
#8
0.775
#27
OPP OPS
0.676
#8
39
#4
HLD
29
#14

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

30-22
Overall ATS
27-26
16-10
Away/Home ATS
13-13
9-8
As Favorite
15-17
21-14
As Underdog
12-9
0-0-1
Over/Under
0-0-2
5-5
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +0.5
Avg margin: -0.7
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.3
Avg margin: +0.4

Scoring

4.40
R/G
4.83
5.06
RA/G
4.42
-0.7
DIFF
0.4

Injury Report

CINKe'Bryan Hayes3B
10-Day-IL
CINRhett LowderSP
15-Day-IL
CINEmilio PaganRP
15-Day-IL
CINJose TrevinoC
10-Day-IL
CINHunter GreeneSP
60-Day-IL
CINConnor BurnsC
Day-To-Day
CINJosh StaumontRP
Day-To-Day
CINBrandon WilliamsonSP
60-Day-IL
PITJared JonesSP
60-Day-IL
PITChris DevenskiRP
15-Day-IL
PITRyan O'HearnRF
10-Day-IL
PITJoey BartC
10-Day-IL
PITAnthony SolometoSP
Day-To-Day
PITOddanier MosquedaRP
Day-To-Day
PITMike ClevingerRP
Day-To-Day
PITSean SullivanSP
Day-To-Day