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MLB Matchup

Reds @ Twins

Sat, Apr 18 12:10 AMTarget FieldMLB.TV
Final
CIN 2 - 1 MIN
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
CIN +1.5·MIN -1.5
Moneyline
CIN +141·MIN -171
Total
8.5
Reds
Away
Reds
62-69
30-33 road
L
W
L
L
W
Twins
Home
Twins
63-68
35-31 home
L
L
L
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Twins ML
-181· moderate risk
72%

Joe Ryan's 3.80 ERA vs Brandon Williamson's 5.28 ERA represents a meaningful 1.48-run starter gap, reinforced by Minnesota's +1.6 run differential edge and a dominant 8-2 ATS run over their last 10 games.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Brandon Williamson
CIN
Brandon Williamson
(2-3, 6.11)
6.11
ERA
Joe Ryan
MIN
Joe Ryan
(6-8, 3.65)
3.65
ERA

Season Series — CIN 3 - MIN 0

CIN 7-4 MIN
Apr 19
CIN 5-4 MIN
Apr 18
CIN 2-1 MIN
Apr 18

Batting

0.227
#30
AVG
0.245
#13
0.699
#24
OPS
0.724
#12
169
#6
HR
150
#15
534
#24
R
599
#9
510
#25
RBI
571
#10
89
#13
SB
74
#18

Pitching

4.51
#24
ERA
4.65
#26
1.410
#28
WHIP
1.380
#25
1047
#21
K
1076
#17
539
#30
BB
473
#22
44
#16
QS
43
#17
33
#16
SV
37
#9

Bullpen & Advanced

8.2
#21
K/9
8.4
#17
0.248
#21
OPP AVG
0.252
#24
0.747
#26
OPP OPS
0.742
#25
73
#10
HLD
89
#4

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

67-64
Overall ATS
69-62
35-28
Away/Home ATS
34-32
19-22
As Favorite
11-26
48-42
As Underdog
58-36
0-0-2
Over/Under
0-0-11
4-6
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.6
Avg margin: -0.7
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.7
Avg margin: -0.4

Scoring

4.10
R/G
4.58
4.82
RA/G
4.99
-0.7
DIFF
-0.4

Injury Report

CINMichael Toglia1B
10-Day-IL
CINBrandon WilliamsonSP
60-Day-IL
CINSpencer Steer1B
10-Day-IL
CINHunter GreeneSP
60-Day-IL
CINBlake DunnCF
60-Day-IL
CINGraham AshcraftRP
60-Day-IL
MINJoe RyanSP
15-Day-IL
MINAustin MartinRF
10-Day-IL
MINMike ParedesSP
60-Day-IL
MINCole SandsRP
60-Day-IL
MINDavid FestaSP
60-Day-IL
MINMick AbelSP
60-Day-IL
MINAnthony BandaRP
15-Day-IL
MINPablo LopezSP
60-Day-IL