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MLB Matchup

Reds @ Twins

Sat, Apr 18 6:10 PMTarget FieldMLB.TV
Final
CIN 5 - 4 MIN
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
CIN +1.5·MIN -1.5
Moneyline
CIN +109·MIN -131
Total
8
Reds
Away
Reds
45-54
23-26 road
L
W
L
W
L
Twins
Home
Twins
49-52
26-25 home
L
L
L
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Twins ML
-181· moderate risk
72%

Joe Ryan's 3.80 ERA vs Brandon Williamson's 5.28 ERA represents a meaningful 1.48-run starter gap, reinforced by Minnesota's +1.6 run differential edge and a dominant 8-2 ATS run over their last 10 games.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Andrew Abbott
CIN
Andrew Abbott
(5-6, 3.89)
3.89
ERA
Taj Bradley
MIN
Taj Bradley
(9-4, 3.85)
3.85
ERA

Season Series — CIN 3 - MIN 0

CIN 7-4 MIN
Apr 19
CIN 5-4 MIN
Apr 18
CIN 2-1 MIN
Apr 18

Batting

0.230
#28
AVG
0.248
#10
0.709
#20
OPS
0.735
#8
129
#9
HR
123
#12
414
#24
R
483
#8
395
#25
RBI
461
#8
69
#14
SB
57
#19

Pitching

4.60
#24
ERA
4.75
#26
1.440
#27
WHIP
1.390
#24
800
#22
K
840
#16
430
#29
BB
365
#23
32
#17
QS
36
#9
21
#24
SV
28
#11

Bullpen & Advanced

8.2
#21
K/9
8.5
#18
0.249
#21
OPP AVG
0.255
#26
0.763
#26
OPP OPS
0.755
#25
51
#16
HLD
66
#4

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

52-47
Overall ATS
53-48
28-21
Away/Home ATS
27-24
17-14
As Favorite
9-20
35-33
As Underdog
44-28
0-0-1
Over/Under
0-0-8
5-5
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.6
Avg margin: -0.7
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.6
Avg margin: -0.3

Scoring

4.18
R/G
4.78
4.86
RA/G
5.11
-0.7
DIFF
-0.3

Injury Report

CINBrandon WilliamsonSP
60-Day-IL
CINBlake DunnCF
10-Day-IL
CINSpencer Steer1B
Day-To-Day
CINMatt McLain2B
10-Day-IL
CINTony SantillanRP
15-Day-IL
CINGraham AshcraftRP
60-Day-IL
CINNick LodoloSP
15-Day-IL
MINDavid FestaSP
60-Day-IL
MINMick AbelSP
60-Day-IL
MINMarco RayaRP
15-Day-IL
MINConnor PrielippSP
15-Day-IL
MINGarrett ActonRP
60-Day-IL
MINAnthony BandaRP
15-Day-IL
MINCole SandsRP
15-Day-IL
MINPablo LopezSP
60-Day-IL