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MLB Matchup

Reds @ Twins

Sat, Apr 18 6:10 PMTarget FieldMLB.TV
Final
CIN 5 - 4 MIN
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
CIN +1.5·MIN -1.5
Moneyline
CIN +109·MIN -131
Total
8
Reds
Away
Reds
31-30
15-14 road
L
W
L
W
L
Twins
Home
Twins
29-35
17-16 home
L
L
W
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Reds ML
+113· high risk
62%

Taj Bradley's 1.25 ERA is elite but Andrew Abbott's 5.85 ERA is a real liability — however, the Reds just beat the Twins 2-1 in Game 1 of this series as +money underdogs, and at +113 the value is asymmetric enough to warrant a lean despite the pitching gap.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Andrew Abbott
CIN
Andrew Abbott
(4-3, 4.06)
4.06
ERA
Taj Bradley
MIN
Taj Bradley
(5-2, 3.56)
3.56
ERA

Season Series — CIN 3 - MIN 0

CIN 7-4 MIN
Apr 19
CIN 5-4 MIN
Apr 18
CIN 2-1 MIN
Apr 18

Batting

0.229
#27
AVG
0.237
#20
0.707
#15
OPS
0.703
#18
77
#8
HR
69
#14
264
#19
R
296
#7
249
#21
RBI
281
#8
43
#15
SB
44
#13

Pitching

4.76
#27
ERA
4.63
#25
1.450
#28
WHIP
1.380
#21
476
#26
K
513
#17
279
#28
BB
236
#24
21
#12
QS
23
#9
14
#20
SV
16
#13

Bullpen & Advanced

7.8
#26
K/9
8.2
#19
0.249
#21
OPP AVG
0.251
#23
0.773
#29
OPP OPS
0.732
#21
41
#7
HLD
48
#2

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

33-28
Overall ATS
34-30
18-11
Away/Home ATS
19-14
10-12
As Favorite
5-11
23-16
As Underdog
29-19
0-0-1
Over/Under
0-0-6
4-6
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.4
Avg margin: -0.7
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.8
Avg margin: -0.4

Scoring

4.33
R/G
4.63
5.00
RA/G
5.03
-0.7
DIFF
-0.4

Injury Report

CINJose TrevinoC
10-Day-IL
CINRhett LowderSP
15-Day-IL
CINGraham AshcraftRP
60-Day-IL
CINElly De La CruzSS
10-Day-IL
CINEmilio PaganRP
15-Day-IL
CINPierce JohnsonRP
15-Day-IL
CINHunter GreeneSP
60-Day-IL
CINKe'Bryan Hayes3B
10-Day-IL
MINMick AbelSP
15-Day-IL
MINRyan JeffersC
10-Day-IL
MINKendry RojasRP
15-Day-IL
MINBailey OberSP
15-Day-IL
MINCole SandsRP
15-Day-IL
MINGarrett ActonRP
60-Day-IL
MINWalker JenkinsCF
Day-To-Day
MINDavid FestaSP
60-Day-IL