AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Reds @ Yankees

Sun, Jun 21 5:35 PMYankee StadiumMLB.TV
Final
CIN 4 - 1 NYY
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
CIN -1.5·NYY +1.5
Moneyline
CIN -102·NYY -118
Total
9
Reds
Away
Reds
43-50
21-24 road
W
L
W
L
W
Yankees
Home
Yankees
51-42
23-20 home
W
L
L
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Reds ML
-108· moderate risk
68%

Chase Burns (8-1, 2.01 ERA) is a massive starter quality advantage over Elmer Rodriguez-Lopez (0-1, 4.15 ERA), a 2.14 ERA gap that nearly auto-triggers a lean on the better arm's team per methodology

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Chase Burns
CIN
Chase Burns
(11-1, 2.54)
2.54
ERA
Elmer Rodriguez
NYY
Elmer Rodriguez
(0-2, 4.76)
4.76
ERA

Season Series — CIN 2 - NYY 1

CIN 4-1 NYY
Jun 21
CIN 10-2 NYY
Jun 20
CIN 5-0 NYY
Jun 19

Batting

0.227
#29
AVG
0.235
#25
0.698
#24
OPS
0.737
#7
113
#12
HR
135
#1
384
#24
R
448
#9
365
#26
RBI
427
#9
64
#15
SB
95
#4

Pitching

4.53
#23
ERA
3.41
#2
1.450
#28
WHIP
1.190
#5
738
#23
K
810
#10
413
#29
BB
278
#8
28
#20
QS
36
#6
21
#21
SV
21
#21

Bullpen & Advanced

8.1
#22
K/9
8.8
#9
0.248
#20
OPP AVG
0.228
#4
0.763
#27
OPP OPS
0.664
#3
51
#14
HLD
44
#20

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

49-43
Overall ATS
42-51
26-19
Away/Home ATS
18-25
15-13
As Favorite
38-46
34-30
As Underdog
4-5
0-0-1
Over/Under
0-0-5
4-6
Last 10 ATS
3-7
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.6
Avg margin: -0.6
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -1.2
Avg margin: +0.9

Scoring

4.17
R/G
4.82
4.75
RA/G
3.90
-0.6
DIFF
0.9

Injury Report

CINMatt McLain2B
10-Day-IL
CINBlake DunnCF
10-Day-IL
CINDane MyersCF
10-Day-IL
CINGraham AshcraftRP
60-Day-IL
CINBrandon WilliamsonSP
60-Day-IL
CINTony SantillanRP
15-Day-IL
NYYGiancarlo StantonDH
10-Day-IL
NYYAaron JudgeRF
10-Day-IL
NYYCarlos RodonSP
15-Day-IL
NYYMax FriedSP
15-Day-IL
NYYClarke SchmidtSP
60-Day-IL