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MLB Matchup

Reds @ Yankees

Sun, Jun 21 5:35 PMYankee StadiumMLB.TV
Final
CIN 4 - 1 NYY
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
CIN +1.5·NYY -1.5
Moneyline
CIN -102·NYY -118
Total
9
Reds
Away
Reds
62-70
30-34 road
L
L
W
L
L
Yankees
Home
Yankees
74-56
33-28 home
W
L
W
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Reds ML
-108· moderate risk
68%

Chase Burns (8-1, 2.01 ERA) is a massive starter quality advantage over Elmer Rodriguez-Lopez (0-1, 4.15 ERA), a 2.14 ERA gap that nearly auto-triggers a lean on the better arm's team per methodology

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Chase Burns
CIN
Chase Burns
(14-3, 2.77)
2.77
ERA
Elmer Rodriguez
NYY
Elmer Rodriguez
(0-2, 4.76)
4.76
ERA

Season Series — CIN 2 - NYY 1

CIN 4-1 NYY
Jun 21
CIN 10-2 NYY
Jun 20
CIN 5-0 NYY
Jun 19

Batting

0.226
#30
AVG
0.230
#28
0.696
#26
OPS
0.716
#16
169
#6
HR
179
#2
537
#25
R
579
#18
513
#25
RBI
552
#18
89
#15
SB
126
#6

Pitching

4.52
#24
ERA
3.20
#1
1.410
#28
WHIP
1.170
#4
1061
#22
K
1164
#8
544
#30
BB
395
#7
44
#16
QS
52
#6
33
#16
SV
39
#5

Bullpen & Advanced

8.1
#22
K/9
9.0
#8
0.248
#20
OPP AVG
0.224
#3
0.748
#26
OPP OPS
0.657
#2
73
#11
HLD
72
#14

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

67-65
Overall ATS
64-66
35-29
Away/Home ATS
29-32
19-23
As Favorite
52-59
48-42
As Underdog
12-7
0-0-2
Over/Under
0-0-5
4-6
Last 10 ATS
7-3
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.5
Avg margin: -0.7
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -1.1
Avg margin: +0.8

Scoring

4.07
R/G
4.45
4.82
RA/G
3.68
-0.7
DIFF
0.8

Injury Report

CINMichael Toglia1B
10-Day-IL
CINBrandon WilliamsonSP
60-Day-IL
CINSpencer Steer1B
10-Day-IL
CINHunter GreeneSP
60-Day-IL
CINBlake DunnCF
60-Day-IL
CINGraham AshcraftRP
60-Day-IL
NYYRyan WeathersSP
15-Day-IL
NYYRyan McMahon3B
10-Day-IL
NYYClarke SchmidtSP
60-Day-IL
NYYGiancarlo StantonDH
10-Day-IL
NYYMax FriedSP
15-Day-IL
NYYAaron JudgeRF
60-Day-IL
NYYKervin CastroRP
15-Day-IL