AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Rockies @ Astros

Thu, Apr 16 12:10 AMDaikin ParkMLB.TV
Final
COL 1 - 3 HOU
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
COL +1.5·HOU -1.5
Moneyline
COL +161·HOU -196
Total
8.5
Rockies
Away
Rockies
22-37
10-22 road
W
W
L
L
L
Astros
Home
Astros
27-33
13-15 home
W
L
W
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Rockies ML
+159· high risk
58%

Colorado's ATS win rate of 64.7% as an underdog significantly outpaces Houston's -194 implied probability, and the Astros' bloated 6.47 team ERA signals a vulnerable pitching staff that has struggled to hold leads.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Jose Quintana
COL
Jose Quintana
(2-3, 5.27)
5.27
ERA
Spencer Arrighetti
HOU
Spencer Arrighetti
(7-1, 1.34)
1.34
ERA

Season Series — COL 4 - HOU 2

COL 3-2 HOU
Apr 17
COL 3-1 HOU
Apr 16
COL 7-6 HOU
Apr 15
COL 9-1 HOU
Apr 8
COL 5-1 HOU
Apr 8
COL 9-7 HOU
Apr 7

Batting

0.245
#11
AVG
0.246
#7
0.696
#18
OPS
0.734
#5
54
#21
HR
79
#4
245
#18
R
271
#9
235
#19
RBI
260
#7
46
#9
SB
21
#28

Pitching

5.15
#30
ERA
4.97
#29
1.470
#30
WHIP
1.440
#28
421
#29
K
495
#12
192
#11
BB
285
#30
8
#30
QS
16
#23
13
#20
SV
15
#13

Bullpen & Advanced

7.3
#29
K/9
8.4
#15
0.281
#30
OPP AVG
0.241
#18
0.814
#30
OPP OPS
0.755
#25
23
#26
HLD
28
#20

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

31-28
Overall ATS
28-32
16-16
Away/Home ATS
13-15
0-0
As Favorite
6-14
31-28
As Underdog
22-18
0-0-3
Over/Under
0-0-4
6-4
Last 10 ATS
8-2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +1.5
Avg margin: -1.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.5
Avg margin: -0.5

Scoring

4.15
R/G
4.52
5.34
RA/G
5.03
-1.1
DIFF
-0.5

Injury Report

COLWelinton HerreraRP
15-Day-IL
COLJose QuintanaSP
60-Day-IL
COLMickey MoniakLF
10-Day-IL
COLBrenton DoyleCF
10-Day-IL
COLChase DollanderSP
15-Day-IL
COLVictor VodnikRP
15-Day-IL
COLJordan BeckLF
10-Day-IL
COLJimmy HergetRP
15-Day-IL
HOUBraden ShewmakeSS
Day-To-Day
HOUJose Altuve2B
10-Day-IL
HOUCristian JavierSP
60-Day-IL
HOUHayden WesneskiSP
60-Day-IL
HOURonel BlancoSP
60-Day-IL
HOUJosh HaderRP
60-Day-IL
HOUHunter BrownSP
60-Day-IL
HOUJoey LoperfidoLF
10-Day-IL