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MLB Matchup

Rockies @ Reds

Thu, Apr 30 4:40 PMGreat American Ball ParkESPN Unlmtd
Final
COL 4 - 6 CIN
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
COL +1.5·CIN -1.5
Moneyline
COL +139·CIN -169
Total
9
Rockies
Away
Rockies
20-34
10-19 road
L
L
W
L
L
Reds
Home
Reds
27-25
14-12 home
W
L
W
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Reds ML
-175· high risk
60%

Cincinnati is the home favorite at -175 with a better starting ERA (6.59 vs 5.97 is close but Abbott edges Lorenzen), a hitter-friendly park, and a 9-8 home record against a Rockies squad that is 7-11 on the road — but both starters are bad enough to neutralize any pitching edge.

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Starting Pitchers

Michael Lorenzen
COL
Michael Lorenzen
(2-7, 7.21)
7.21
ERA
Andrew Abbott
CIN
Andrew Abbott
(4-2, 3.97)
3.97
ERA

Season Series — COL 1 - CIN 2

COL 6-4 CIN
Apr 30
COL 13-2 CIN
Apr 29
COL 7-2 CIN
Apr 28

Batting

0.243
#10
AVG
0.227
#26
0.690
#21
OPS
0.703
#15
45
#23
HR
66
#5
218
#19
R
229
#13
209
#19
RBI
216
#16
43
#10
SB
42
#11

Pitching

4.90
#28
ERA
4.78
#25
1.460
#28
WHIP
1.470
#29
389
#27
K
402
#25
183
#15
BB
244
#28
7
#30
QS
16
#18
13
#14
SV
13
#14

Bullpen & Advanced

7.5
#28
K/9
7.8
#25
0.275
#30
OPP AVG
0.249
#23
0.796
#30
OPP OPS
0.775
#27
22
#23
HLD
39
#4

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

29-25
Overall ATS
30-22
16-13
Away/Home ATS
14-12
0-0
As Favorite
9-8
29-25
As Underdog
21-14
0-0-2
Over/Under
0-0-1
6-4
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +1.5
Avg margin: -1.2
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +0.5
Avg margin: -0.7

Scoring

4.06
R/G
4.40
5.22
RA/G
5.06
-1.1
DIFF
-0.7

Injury Report

COLJose QuintanaSP
Day-To-Day
COLWilli Castro2B
Day-To-Day
COLMickey MoniakLF
10-Day-IL
COLBrenton DoyleCF
10-Day-IL
COLChase DollanderSP
15-Day-IL
COLVictor VodnikRP
15-Day-IL
COLRyan FeltnerSP
15-Day-IL
COLJordan BeckLF
10-Day-IL
CINKe'Bryan Hayes3B
10-Day-IL
CINRhett LowderSP
15-Day-IL
CINEmilio PaganRP
15-Day-IL
CINJose TrevinoC
10-Day-IL
CINHunter GreeneSP
60-Day-IL
CINConnor BurnsC
Day-To-Day
CINJosh StaumontRP
Day-To-Day
CINBrandon WilliamsonSP
60-Day-IL