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MLB Matchup

Royals @ Cardinals

Sat, May 16 12:15 AMBusch StadiumMLB.TV
Final
KC 4 - 5 STL
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
KC -1.5·STL +1.5
Moneyline
KC -111·STL -109
Total
8.5
Royals
Away
Royals
22-31
7-17 road
W
W
L
L
L
Cardinals
Home
Cardinals
29-22
13-13 home
L
W
L
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Cardinals ML
-114· moderate risk
62%

St. Louis holds a significant ATS advantage (.605 overall, .600 at home) over Kansas City (.409 overall, .333 on the road), and the Cardinals' starter Wacha — wait, Wacha is KC's arm — KC's Wacha (2.63 ERA) is the better pitcher on paper, but STL's home dominance and KC's L4 skid on the road (6-15 road record) tip the lean toward the Cardinals.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Michael Wacha
KC
Michael Wacha
(4-2, 2.70)
2.70
ERA
Dustin May
STL
Dustin May
(3-5, 5.00)
5.00
ERA

Season Series — KC 1 - STL 2

KC 2-0 STL
May 17
KC 4-2 STL
May 16
KC 5-4 STL
May 16

Batting

0.236
#19
AVG
0.242
#14
0.688
#22
OPS
0.716
#11
48
#20
HR
60
#10
199
#28
R
233
#10
192
#26
RBI
226
#9
36
#16
SB
34
#18

Pitching

4.16
#18
ERA
4.20
#20
1.360
#22
WHIP
1.370
#23
429
#15
K
380
#29
213
#27
BB
190
#20
27
#2
QS
19
#9
14
#10
SV
17
#4

Bullpen & Advanced

8.4
#16
K/9
7.4
#29
0.241
#18
OPP AVG
0.254
#26
0.732
#23
OPP OPS
0.725
#22
20
#25
HLD
42
#2

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

22-31
Overall ATS
30-21
8-16
Away/Home ATS
15-11
9-19
As Favorite
5-4
13-12
As Underdog
25-17
0-0-1
Over/Under
0-0-3
4-6
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.1
Avg margin: -0.5
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +1.0

Scoring

3.91
R/G
4.57
4.38
RA/G
4.55
-0.5
DIFF
0.1

Injury Report

KCCole RagansSP
15-Day-IL
KCMatt StrahmRP
15-Day-IL
KCJames McArthurRP
60-Day-IL
KCKris BubicSP
15-Day-IL
KCAnthony SimonelliSP
Day-To-Day
KCJavier Vaz2B
Day-To-Day
KCTyson GuerreroRP
Day-To-Day
KCJonathan India2B
10-Day-IL
STLNathan ChurchLF
10-Day-IL
STLRamon Urias3B
10-Day-IL
STLLars NootbaarLF
60-Day-IL
STLPacky NaughtonRP
Day-To-Day
STLSem RobberseSP
Day-To-Day
STLVictor SantosRP
Day-To-Day
STLIxan HendersonSP
Day-To-Day
STLZack ThompsonRP
Day-To-Day