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MLB Matchup

Royals @ Nationals

Mon, Jun 15 10:45 PMNationals ParkESPN Unlmtd
Final
KC 3 - 7 WSH
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
KC +1.5·WSH -1.5
Moneyline
KC +113·WSH -136
Total
9.5
Royals
Away
Royals
38-57
17-31 road
L
L
L
W
W
Nationals
Home
Nationals
48-46
20-28 home
W
L
W
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Nationals ML
-144· moderate risk
65%

Washington holds a massive ATS advantage (+21% overall, .625 vs .417) and sends Andrew Alvarez (1-0, 3.70 ERA) against Mitch Spence (0-0, 13.50 ERA), a stark pitching mismatch that anchors the lean.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Mitch Spence
KC
Mitch Spence
(0-2, 21.21)
21.21
ERA
Andrew Alvarez
WSH
Andrew Alvarez
(2-2, 3.64)
3.64
ERA

Season Series — KC 1 - WSH 2

KC 6-2 WSH
Jun 17
KC 6-4 WSH
Jun 16
KC 7-3 WSH
Jun 15

Batting

0.247
#10
AVG
0.251
#8
0.716
#16
OPS
0.760
#3
95
#23
HR
132
#2
405
#19
R
508
#1
386
#19
RBI
484
#1
73
#9
SB
100
#1

Pitching

4.89
#28
ERA
4.76
#26
1.450
#28
WHIP
1.390
#24
716
#26
K
744
#21
362
#26
BB
330
#19
39
#5
QS
18
#28
23
#17
SV
27
#8

Bullpen & Advanced

7.8
#26
K/9
7.9
#24
0.264
#28
OPP AVG
0.259
#27
0.787
#28
OPP OPS
0.759
#26
38
#25
HLD
52
#12

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

40-54
Overall ATS
57-37
19-28
Away/Home ATS
24-24
10-24
As Favorite
6-6
30-30
As Underdog
51-31
0-0-2
Over/Under
0-0-6
4-6
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: +0.4
Avg margin: -0.8
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +1.1
Avg margin: +0.1

Scoring

4.29
R/G
5.40
5.11
RA/G
5.27
-0.8
DIFF
0.1

Injury Report

KCVinnie Pasquantino1B
Day-To-Day
KCKyle IsbelCF
10-Day-IL
KCMaikel Garcia3B
10-Day-IL
KCKris BubicSP
60-Day-IL
KCCole RagansSP
60-Day-IL
KCCarlos EstevezRP
60-Day-IL
KCConnor SeaboldRP
15-Day-IL
KCNick MearsRP
15-Day-IL
WSHBrad LordRP
15-Day-IL
WSHTrevor WilliamsSP
60-Day-IL
WSHJake IrvinSP
15-Day-IL
WSHMitchell ParkerRP
60-Day-IL
WSHRichard LoveladyRP
15-Day-IL
WSHDJ HerzSP
60-Day-IL
WSHMax KranickRP
60-Day-IL
WSHKen WaldichukRP
60-Day-IL