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MLB Matchup

Royals @ Nationals

Mon, Jun 15 10:45 PMNationals ParkESPN Unlmtd
Final
KC 3 - 7 WSH
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
KC +1.5·WSH -1.5
Moneyline
KC +113·WSH -136
Total
9.5
Royals
Away
Royals
67-89
28-53 road
L
L
L
L
W
Nationals
Home
Nationals
73-83
37-41 home
L
W
W
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Nationals ML
-144· moderate risk
65%

Washington holds a massive ATS advantage (+21% overall, .625 vs .417) and sends Andrew Alvarez (1-0, 3.70 ERA) against Mitch Spence (0-0, 13.50 ERA), a stark pitching mismatch that anchors the lean.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Mitch Spence
KC
Mitch Spence
(0-2, 21.21)
21.21
ERA
Andrew Alvarez
WSH
Andrew Alvarez
(2-6, 3.17)
3.17
ERA

Season Series — KC 1 - WSH 2

KC 6-2 WSH
Jun 17
KC 6-4 WSH
Jun 16
KC 7-3 WSH
Jun 15

Batting

0.245
#13
AVG
0.247
#10
0.713
#19
OPS
0.747
#3
162
#22
HR
203
#5
656
#23
R
798
#3
624
#25
RBI
756
#3
127
#9
SB
171
#1

Pitching

4.66
#27
ERA
4.66
#27
1.390
#27
WHIP
1.380
#26
1130
#28
K
1227
#25
551
#20
BB
577
#24
61
#6
QS
36
#27
36
#22
SV
38
#18

Bullpen & Advanced

7.4
#28
K/9
8.0
#24
0.259
#28
OPP AVG
0.253
#25
0.769
#27
OPP OPS
0.753
#26
82
#18
HLD
77
#23

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

75-81
Overall ATS
87-69
36-45
Away/Home ATS
39-39
15-32
As Favorite
17-16
60-49
As Underdog
70-53
0-0-6
Over/Under
0-0-9
3-7
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.6
Avg margin: -0.7
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +0.9
Avg margin: +0.1

Scoring

4.21
R/G
5.12
4.86
RA/G
5.04
-0.7
DIFF
0.1

Injury Report

KCConnor SeaboldRP
60-Day-IL
KCTony GonsolinSP
15-Day-IL
KCJames McArthurRP
60-Day-IL
KCBeck WayRP
15-Day-IL
KCCarlos EstevezRP
60-Day-IL
KCNick MearsRP
60-Day-IL
KCLuinder AvilaSP
60-Day-IL
KCStephen KolekSP
60-Day-IL
WSHDJ HerzSP
60-Day-IL
WSHConnelly EarlySP
60-Day-IL
WSHMatt WaldronRP
60-Day-IL
WSHDrew MillasC
60-Day-IL
WSHOrlando RibaltaRP
15-Day-IL
WSHPJ PoulinRP
60-Day-IL
WSHMitchell ParkerRP
60-Day-IL
WSHKen WaldichukRP
60-Day-IL