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MLB Matchup

Royals @ Rays

Thu, Jun 25 4:10 PMTropicana FieldMLB.TV
Final
KC 2 - 13 TB
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
KC +1.5·TB -1.5
Moneyline
KC +123·TB -149
Total
8
Royals
Away
Royals
38-56
17-30 road
L
L
W
W
W
Rays
Home
Rays
54-37
33-14 home
L
W
W
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Rays ML
-143· moderate risk
68%

Tampa Bay's elite home record (27-12, .692 ATS as home underdog/favorite) combined with a superior team ERA (3.90 vs 4.55) and dominant home ATS rate (25-14, .641) provides a clear structural edge over a Kansas City road squad that is 15-25 away from home.

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Starting Pitchers

Seth Lugo
KC
Seth Lugo
(3-6, 4.56)
4.56
ERA
Casey Legumina
TB
Casey Legumina
(2-2, 3.99)
3.99
ERA

Season Series — KC 2 - TB 5

KC 5-2 TB
Jul 2
KC 4-0 TB
Jul 1
KC 10-4 TB
Jun 30
KC 13-2 TB
Jun 25
KC 5-3 TB
Jun 24
KC 12-5 TB
Jun 23
KC 2-1 TB
Jun 22

Batting

0.247
#10
AVG
0.258
#3
0.716
#16
OPS
0.730
#10
95
#23
HR
88
#27
405
#19
R
410
#18
386
#19
RBI
390
#18
73
#9
SB
86
#6

Pitching

4.89
#28
ERA
3.81
#9
1.450
#28
WHIP
1.170
#4
716
#26
K
738
#23
362
#26
BB
242
#2
39
#5
QS
29
#19
23
#17
SV
37
#1

Bullpen & Advanced

7.8
#26
K/9
8.2
#21
0.264
#28
OPP AVG
0.233
#6
0.787
#28
OPP OPS
0.691
#9
38
#25
HLD
71
#2

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

40-54
Overall ATS
54-37
19-28
Away/Home ATS
31-16
10-24
As Favorite
36-28
30-30
As Underdog
18-9
0-0-2
Over/Under
0-0-4
4-6
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: +0.4
Avg margin: -0.8
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: -0.6
Avg margin: +0.3

Scoring

4.31
R/G
4.51
5.11
RA/G
4.20
-0.8
DIFF
0.3

Injury Report

KCVinnie Pasquantino1B
Day-To-Day
KCKyle IsbelCF
10-Day-IL
KCMaikel Garcia3B
10-Day-IL
KCKris BubicSP
60-Day-IL
KCCole RagansSP
60-Day-IL
KCCarlos EstevezRP
60-Day-IL
KCConnor SeaboldRP
15-Day-IL
KCNick MearsRP
15-Day-IL
TBSteven WilsonRP
60-Day-IL
TBJesse ScholtensRP
15-Day-IL
TBSteven MatzSP
15-Day-IL
TBEdwin UcetaRP
60-Day-IL
TBJake FraleyRF
10-Day-IL
TBManuel RodriguezRP
60-Day-IL
TBGavin LuxLF
60-Day-IL
TBJonathan HeasleyRP
60-Day-IL