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MLB Matchup

Red Sox @ Braves

Sat, May 16 11:15 PMTruist ParkMLB.TV
Final
BOS 3 - 2 ATL
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
BOS +1.5·ATL -1.5
Moneyline
BOS +107·ATL -129
Total
7.5
Red Sox
Away
Red Sox
43-48
26-21 road
W
W
W
W
W
Braves
Home
Braves
54-38
27-18 home
W
W
L
L
L

AI Analysis

LOSTBoston Red Sox 3, Atlanta Braves 2
Braves ML
-143· moderate risk

Bryce Elder's 1.81 ERA vs. Payton Tolle's 2.78 ERA anchors a matchup where Atlanta holds dominant advantages in team OPS (.775 vs .668), runs scored (240 vs 163), and overall record (31-14 vs 18-26).

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Starting Pitchers

Payton Tolle
BOS
Payton Tolle
(5-6, 3.14)
3.14
ERA
Bryce Elder
ATL
Bryce Elder
(5-6, 4.12)
4.12
ERA

Season Series — BOS 2 - ATL 4

BOS 10-2 ATL
May 28
BOS 8-0 ATL
May 27
BOS 7-6 ATL
May 26
BOS 8-1 ATL
May 17
BOS 3-2 ATL
May 16
BOS 3-2 ATL
May 15

Batting

0.244
#13
AVG
0.249
#9
0.701
#23
OPS
0.728
#12
81
#30
HR
120
#7
372
#29
R
454
#8
355
#29
RBI
439
#5
71
#11
SB
48
#21

Pitching

3.67
#7
ERA
3.61
#5
1.230
#7
WHIP
1.240
#9
777
#17
K
778
#16
264
#3
BB
308
#12
41
#3
QS
31
#15
21
#21
SV
27
#8

Bullpen & Advanced

8.7
#12
K/9
8.6
#14
0.239
#14
OPP AVG
0.230
#5
0.685
#7
OPP OPS
0.682
#6
52
#12
HLD
65
#3

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

41-50
Overall ATS
50-42
24-23
Away/Home ATS
23-22
24-34
As Favorite
36-33
17-16
As Underdog
14-9
0-0-4
Over/Under
0-0-6
7-3
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.4
Avg margin: +0.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +1.0

Scoring

4.09
R/G
4.93
3.89
RA/G
3.90
0.2
DIFF
1.0

Injury Report

BOSConnelly EarlySP
15-Day-IL
BOSRanger SuarezSP
15-Day-IL
BOSJohan OviedoSP
60-Day-IL
BOSTanner HouckSP
60-Day-IL
BOSTrevor StorySS
60-Day-IL
BOSKutter CrawfordSP
60-Day-IL
BOSRoman AnthonyLF
60-Day-IL
BOSTriston Casas1B
60-Day-IL
ATLRobert SuarezRP
15-Day-IL
ATLAJ Smith-ShawverSP
60-Day-IL
ATLRonald Acuna Jr.RF
10-Day-IL
ATLMartin PerezSP
15-Day-IL
ATLHa-Seong KimSS
10-Day-IL
ATLSpencer SchwellenbachSP
60-Day-IL
ATLSpencer StriderSP
60-Day-IL
ATLSean MurphyC
60-Day-IL