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MLB Matchup

White Sox @ Guardians

Sat, Oct 3 5:00 PMProgressive FieldTBS
Final
CHW 3 - 0 CLE
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
CHW +1.5·CLE -1.5
Moneyline
CHW +124·CLE -149
Total
6.5
White Sox
Away
White Sox
84-78
36-45 road
L
L
L
W
W
Guardians
Home
Guardians
85-77
41-40 home
W
W
W
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Guardians ML
-157· high risk
60%

Cleveland is 8-2 ATS last 10 and holds home field with a known starter (Messick) against a White Sox TBD arm, creating a meaningful pitching information gap favoring the home side.

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Starting Pitchers

Hagen Smith
CHW
Hagen Smith
(0-0, 1.29)
1.29
ERA
Parker Messick
CLE
Parker Messick
(0-1, 5.40)
5.40
ERA

Season Series — CHW 2 - CLE 3

CHW 2-0 CLE
Oct 11
CHW 9-5 CLE
Oct 9
CHW 9-3 CLE
Oct 7
CHW 4-3 CLE
Oct 5
CHW 3-0 CLE
Oct 3

Batting

0.211
#3
AVG
0.213
#19
0.611
#9
OPS
0.680
#22
4
#28
HR
3
#19
28
#25
R
23
#16
26
#25
RBI
22
#16
5
#24
SB
3
#5

Pitching

3.92
#3
ERA
3.00
#9
1.210
#2
WHIP
1.110
#9
59
#25
K
75
#2
30
#3
BB
21
#16
0
#27
QS
0
#5
2
#25
SV
1
#4

Bullpen & Advanced

8.6
#1
K/9
15.0
#3
0.200
#3
OPP AVG
0.185
#13
0.653
#3
OPP OPS
0.558
#12
3
#24
HLD
7
#1

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

2-0
Overall ATS
82-80
2-0
Away/Home ATS
37-44
0-0
As Favorite
34-59
2-0
As Underdog
48-21
0-0
Over/Under
0-0-2
2-0
Last 10 ATS
8-2
ATS Win%
1.0%
Avg spread: +1.5
Avg margin: +3.5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.2
Avg margin: +0.1

Scoring

4.79
R/G
4.19
4.44
RA/G
4.12
0.4
DIFF
0.1

Injury Report

CHWLuis CastilloSP
15-Day-IL
CHWPrelander BerroaRP
60-Day-IL
CHWKy BushSP
60-Day-IL
CHWJordan LeasureRP
60-Day-IL
CHWJoey BartC
10-Day-IL
CHWMike VasilRP
60-Day-IL
CHWTanner MurrayLF
60-Day-IL
CHWBrooks BaldwinLF
60-Day-IL
CLEColin HoldermanRP
15-Day-IL
CLERhys Hoskins1B
10-Day-IL
CLEAndrew WaltersRP
Out