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MLB Matchup

Red Sox @ Mariners

Sun, Jun 21 8:10 PMT-Mobile ParkMLB.TV
Final
BOS 1 - 3 SEA
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
BOS +1.5·SEA -1.5
Moneyline
BOS +113·SEA -136
Total
6.5
Red Sox
Away
Red Sox
43-48
26-21 road
W
W
W
W
W
Mariners
Home
Mariners
47-48
27-20 home
L
L
L
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Mariners ML
-143· moderate risk
62%

Logan Gilbert's superior ERA (3.43 vs 2.93 for Tolle, though Tolle is the slight edge there) is offset by Seattle's stronger team pitching (3.66 ERA, 1.18 WHIP vs Boston's 3.86/1.26), better overall record (39-39 vs 31-43), and home-field advantage at a pitcher-friendly park — but Boston's W2 streak and Seattle's L2 streak plus Seattle's brutal home ATS record (14-26) cap this at a lean.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Payton Tolle
BOS
Payton Tolle
(5-6, 3.14)
3.14
ERA
Logan Gilbert
SEA
Logan Gilbert
(7-5, 3.19)
3.19
ERA

Season Series — BOS 2 - SEA 1

BOS 3-1 SEA
Jun 21
BOS 5-1 SEA
Jun 21
BOS 6-2 SEA
Jun 20

Batting

0.244
#13
AVG
0.230
#27
0.701
#23
OPS
0.691
#25
81
#30
HR
112
#13
372
#29
R
381
#26
355
#29
RBI
367
#25
71
#11
SB
72
#10

Pitching

3.67
#7
ERA
3.57
#4
1.230
#7
WHIP
1.170
#4
777
#17
K
806
#11
264
#3
BB
235
#1
41
#3
QS
44
#2
21
#21
SV
22
#19

Bullpen & Advanced

8.7
#12
K/9
8.7
#12
0.239
#14
OPP AVG
0.238
#10
0.685
#7
OPP OPS
0.671
#4
52
#12
HLD
53
#11

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

41-50
Overall ATS
36-58
24-23
Away/Home ATS
19-28
24-34
As Favorite
33-53
17-16
As Underdog
3-5
0-0-4
Over/Under
0-0-4
7-3
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.4
Avg margin: +0.2
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -1.2
Avg margin: +0.2

Scoring

4.09
R/G
4.03
3.89
RA/G
3.87
0.2
DIFF
0.1

Injury Report

BOSConnelly EarlySP
15-Day-IL
BOSRanger SuarezSP
15-Day-IL
BOSJohan OviedoSP
60-Day-IL
BOSTanner HouckSP
60-Day-IL
BOSTrevor StorySS
60-Day-IL
BOSKutter CrawfordSP
60-Day-IL
BOSRoman AnthonyLF
60-Day-IL
BOSTriston Casas1B
60-Day-IL
SEABrendan Donovan3B
10-Day-IL
SEACooper CriswellRP
60-Day-IL
SEARob RefsnyderDH
10-Day-IL
SEACarlos VargasRP
60-Day-IL
SEAWill Wilson3B
60-Day-IL
SEAMatt BrashRP
15-Day-IL
SEALogan EvansSP
60-Day-IL