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MLB Matchup

Red Sox @ Mariners

Sun, Jun 21 8:10 PMT-Mobile ParkMLB.TV
Final
BOS 1 - 3 SEA
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
BOS +1.5·SEA -1.5
Moneyline
BOS +113·SEA -136
Total
6.5
Red Sox
Away
Red Sox
72-59
38-27 road
W
W
W
W
L
Mariners
Home
Mariners
63-69
36-30 home
W
L
W
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Mariners ML
-143· moderate risk
62%

Logan Gilbert's superior ERA (3.43 vs 2.93 for Tolle, though Tolle is the slight edge there) is offset by Seattle's stronger team pitching (3.66 ERA, 1.18 WHIP vs Boston's 3.86/1.26), better overall record (39-39 vs 31-43), and home-field advantage at a pitcher-friendly park — but Boston's W2 streak and Seattle's L2 streak plus Seattle's brutal home ATS record (14-26) cap this at a lean.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Payton Tolle
BOS
Payton Tolle
(8-6, 3.08)
3.08
ERA
Logan Gilbert
SEA
Logan Gilbert
(11-7, 3.36)
3.36
ERA

Season Series — BOS 2 - SEA 1

BOS 3-1 SEA
Jun 21
BOS 5-1 SEA
Jun 21
BOS 6-2 SEA
Jun 20

Batting

0.251
#6
AVG
0.230
#28
0.731
#8
OPS
0.688
#27
133
#24
HR
154
#14
593
#13
R
522
#29
567
#13
RBI
503
#29
97
#11
SB
91
#13

Pitching

3.50
#3
ERA
4.11
#14
1.220
#6
WHIP
1.240
#7
1119
#12
K
1122
#11
375
#3
BB
342
#2
53
#4
QS
57
#2
37
#11
SV
29
#23

Bullpen & Advanced

8.6
#13
K/9
8.7
#11
0.239
#13
OPP AVG
0.249
#21
0.680
#4
OPP OPS
0.714
#15
80
#9
HLD
69
#16

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

64-67
Overall ATS
49-83
34-31
Away/Home ATS
25-41
40-49
As Favorite
38-66
24-18
As Underdog
11-17
0-0-4
Over/Under
0-0-8
5-5
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.5
Avg margin: +0.8
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.9
Avg margin: -0.4

Scoring

4.53
R/G
3.95
3.76
RA/G
4.36
0.7
DIFF
-0.4

Injury Report

BOSTrevor StorySS
60-Day-IL
BOSGarrett WhitlockRP
15-Day-IL
BOSIsiah Kiner-Falefa2B
60-Day-IL
BOSRoman AnthonyLF
60-Day-IL
BOSGarrett CrochetSP
60-Day-IL
BOSMasataka YoshidaDH
10-Day-IL
BOSTanner HouckSP
60-Day-IL
BOSJustin SlatenRP
15-Day-IL
SEAColt EmersonSS
10-Day-IL
SEAJ.P. CrawfordSS
10-Day-IL
SEAMatt BrashRP
60-Day-IL
SEALuke RaleyRF
60-Day-IL
SEACooper CriswellRP
60-Day-IL
SEACole WilcoxRP
15-Day-IL
SEAWill Wilson3B
60-Day-IL
SEALogan EvansSP
60-Day-IL