AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Red Sox @ Marlins

Mon, Aug 24 10:40 PMloanDepot parkMLB.TV
Final
BOS 4 - 2 MIA
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
BOS -1.5·MIA +1.5
Moneyline
BOS -124·MIA +115
Total
7
Red Sox
Away
Red Sox
72-59
38-27 road
W
W
W
W
L
Marlins
Home
Marlins
67-65
41-26 home
L
W
W
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Red Sox ML
-128· moderate risk
60%

Boston holds a superior team ERA (3.51 vs 3.90) and better run differential (+0.7 vs +0.2) while starting pitchers are essentially a wash at 3.41 vs 3.46 ERA, giving the Red Sox a modest but real pitching staff advantage at a moderate price.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Ranger Suarez
BOS
Ranger Suarez
(5-3, 3.35)
3.35
ERA
Sandy Alcantara
MIA
Sandy Alcantara
(13-8, 3.38)
3.38
ERA

Season Series — BOS 1 - MIA 0

BOS 4-2 MIA
Aug 24

Batting

0.251
#6
AVG
0.249
#8
0.731
#8
OPS
0.728
#9
133
#24
HR
133
#24
589
#13
R
573
#19
564
#14
RBI
550
#19
97
#11
SB
132
#2

Pitching

3.51
#3
ERA
3.90
#9
1.220
#6
WHIP
1.250
#9
1112
#12
K
1075
#18
369
#3
BB
435
#15
53
#4
QS
45
#14
36
#13
SV
30
#22

Bullpen & Advanced

8.7
#11
K/9
8.4
#17
0.239
#13
OPP AVG
0.231
#5
0.679
#4
OPP OPS
0.682
#6
80
#9
HLD
74
#10

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

64-67
Overall ATS
66-66
34-31
Away/Home ATS
35-32
40-49
As Favorite
30-32
24-18
As Underdog
36-34
0-0-4
Over/Under
0-0-4
5-5
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.5
Avg margin: +0.8
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.1
Avg margin: +0.1

Scoring

4.53
R/G
4.36
3.76
RA/G
4.21
0.7
DIFF
0.2

Injury Report

BOSGarrett WhitlockRP
15-Day-IL
BOSIsiah Kiner-Falefa2B
60-Day-IL
BOSTrevor StorySS
60-Day-IL
BOSRoman AnthonyLF
60-Day-IL
BOSGarrett CrochetSP
60-Day-IL
BOSMasataka YoshidaDH
10-Day-IL
BOSTanner HouckSP
60-Day-IL
BOSJustin SlatenRP
15-Day-IL
MIAPete FairbanksRP
Day-To-Day
MIAAndrew NardiRP
60-Day-IL
MIAMax MeyerSP
15-Day-IL
MIAAnthony BenderRP
15-Day-IL
MIAWilliam KempnerRP
60-Day-IL
MIARobby SnellingSP
60-Day-IL
MIAAdam MazurSP
60-Day-IL
MIARonny HenriquezRP
60-Day-IL