AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Tigers @ Braves

Tue, Apr 28 11:15 PMTruist ParkMLB.TV
Final
DET 2 - 5 ATL
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
DET -1.5·ATL +1.5
Moneyline
DET +102·ATL -122
Total
8.5
Tigers
Away
Tigers
15-15
5-13 road
L
W
L
L
W
Braves
Home
Braves
21-9
11-5 home
W
W
L
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Braves ML
-126· moderate risk
72%

Atlanta holds a +1.8 run differential advantage, an 8-2 ATS run last 10, and a dominant 10-5 home record against Detroit's 5-12 road mark — a multi-layer structural edge at a reasonable -126 price.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Casey Mize
DET
Casey Mize
(2-2, 2.90)
2.90
ERA
Martin Perez
ATL
Martin Perez
(2-1, 2.22)
2.22
ERA

Season Series — DET 0 - ATL 1

DET 5-2 ATL
Apr 28

Batting

0.251
#7
AVG
0.274
#1
0.745
#6
OPS
0.795
#2
32
#14
HR
41
#3
134
#14
R
171
#1
129
#14
RBI
166
#1
9
#29
SB
14
#26

Pitching

4.01
#14
ERA
3.09
#1
1.340
#17
WHIP
1.130
#3
244
#18
K
251
#16
110
#20
BB
95
#9
13
#6
QS
15
#2
7
#17
SV
11
#3

Bullpen & Advanced

8.5
#16
K/9
8.4
#18
0.241
#15
OPP AVG
0.210
#1
0.704
#15
OPP OPS
0.630
#2
12
#26
HLD
19
#11

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

14-16
Overall ATS
20-10
6-12
Away/Home ATS
10-6
9-13
As Favorite
18-9
5-3
As Underdog
2-1
0-0-2
Over/Under
0-0-3
4-6
Last 10 ATS
8-2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +0.2
ATS Win%
0.7%
Avg spread: -1.2
Avg margin: +2.3

Scoring

4.47
R/G
5.70
4.23
RA/G
3.43
0.3
DIFF
2.3

Injury Report

DETJavier BaezSS
Day-To-Day
DETCasey MizeSP
Day-To-Day
DETJackson JobeSP
60-Day-IL
DETConnor SeaboldRP
15-Day-IL
DETJustin VerlanderSP
15-Day-IL
DETBailey HornRP
60-Day-IL
DETZach McKinstry2B
10-Day-IL
DETTroy MeltonRP
60-Day-IL
ATLSpencer SchwellenbachSP
60-Day-IL
ATLHurston WaldrepSP
15-Day-IL
ATLRaisel IglesiasRP
15-Day-IL
ATLSpencer StriderSP
15-Day-IL
ATLSean MurphyC
10-Day-IL
ATLHa-Seong KimSS
10-Day-IL
ATLDylan DoddRP
15-Day-IL
ATLDanny YoungRP
60-Day-IL