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MLB Matchup

Tigers @ Braves

Tue, Apr 28 11:15 PMTruist ParkMLB.TV
Final
DET 2 - 5 ATL
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
DET -1.5·ATL +1.5
Moneyline
DET +102·ATL -122
Total
8.5
Tigers
Away
Tigers
34-45
12-28 road
L
W
W
W
W
Braves
Home
Braves
48-30
24-14 home
L
L
L
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Braves ML
-126· moderate risk
72%

Atlanta holds a +1.8 run differential advantage, an 8-2 ATS run last 10, and a dominant 10-5 home record against Detroit's 5-12 road mark — a multi-layer structural edge at a reasonable -126 price.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Casey Mize
DET
Casey Mize
(2-5, 2.95)
2.95
ERA
Martin Perez
ATL
Martin Perez
(6-3, 2.78)
2.78
ERA

Season Series — DET 1 - ATL 2

DET 5-2 ATL
Apr 30
DET 4-3 ATL
Apr 29
DET 5-2 ATL
Apr 28

Batting

0.235
#24
AVG
0.252
#7
0.709
#20
OPS
0.733
#7
87
#16
HR
102
#8
322
#24
R
383
#7
308
#25
RBI
373
#6
27
#28
SB
41
#21

Pitching

3.83
#8
ERA
3.40
#3
1.260
#12
WHIP
1.210
#5
640
#20
K
673
#12
249
#10
BB
258
#13
29
#9
QS
30
#8
15
#25
SV
23
#7

Bullpen & Advanced

8.3
#19
K/9
8.7
#13
0.239
#13
OPP AVG
0.225
#4
0.700
#9
OPP OPS
0.667
#4
34
#23
HLD
49
#7

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

40-39
Overall ATS
43-35
15-25
Away/Home ATS
19-19
14-27
As Favorite
31-29
26-12
As Underdog
12-6
0-0-4
Over/Under
0-0-6
5-5
Last 10 ATS
2-8
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.1
Avg margin: -0.1
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: -0.8
Avg margin: +1.2

Scoring

4.08
R/G
4.91
4.13
RA/G
3.69
0.0
DIFF
1.2

Injury Report

DETJack FlahertySP
15-Day-IL
DETBurch SmithRP
60-Day-IL
DETWenceel PerezRF
10-Day-IL
DETGleyber Torres2B
10-Day-IL
DETJustin VerlanderSP
60-Day-IL
DETJavier BaezSS
60-Day-IL
DETTrey SweeneySS
60-Day-IL
DETJackson JobeSP
60-Day-IL
ATLKyle FarmerDH
10-Day-IL
ATLSpencer StriderSP
60-Day-IL
ATLRonald Acuna Jr.RF
10-Day-IL
ATLTyler KinleyRP
15-Day-IL
ATLSean MurphyC
60-Day-IL
ATLSpencer SchwellenbachSP
60-Day-IL
ATLAJ Smith-ShawverSP
60-Day-IL
ATLJoe JimenezRP
60-Day-IL