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MLB Matchup

Tigers @ Braves

Tue, Apr 28 11:15 PMTruist ParkMLB.TV
Final
DET 2 - 5 ATL
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
DET +1.5·ATL -1.5
Moneyline
DET +102·ATL -122
Total
8.5
Tigers
Away
Tigers
76-86
34-47 road
Braves
Home
Braves
94-68
52-29 home
L
L
W
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Braves ML
-126· moderate risk
72%

Atlanta holds a +1.8 run differential advantage, an 8-2 ATS run last 10, and a dominant 10-5 home record against Detroit's 5-12 road mark — a multi-layer structural edge at a reasonable -126 price.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Casey Mize
DET
Casey Mize
(6-10, 4.32)
4.32
ERA
Martin Perez
ATL
Martin Perez
(9-9, 3.04)
3.04
ERA

Batting

0.241
#18
AVG
0.183
#25
0.720
#12
OPS
0.609
#4
181
#11
HR
6
#23
723
#9
R
22
#24
683
#12
RBI
20
#24
58
#22
SB
4
#25

Pitching

3.67
#7
ERA
3.14
#4
1.220
#8
WHIP
1.050
#4
1312
#14
K
60
#23
507
#14
BB
15
#4
56
#6
QS
3
#23
32
#19
SV
2
#23

Bullpen & Advanced

8.2
#18
K/9
8.6
#22
0.232
#9
OPP AVG
0.215
#7
0.684
#8
OPP OPS
0.659
#6
71
#21
HLD
2
#26

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

84-78
Overall ATS
3-0
40-41
Away/Home ATS
3-0
36-54
As Favorite
1-0
48-24
As Underdog
2-0
0-0-8
Over/Under
0-0-1
4-6
Last 10 ATS
3-0
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.2
Avg margin: +0.4
ATS Win%
1.0%
Avg spread: +0.5
Avg margin: +1.7

Scoring

4.46
R/G
4.58
4.02
RA/G
3.86
0.5
DIFF
0.7

Injury Report

DETReese OlsonSP
60-Day-IL
DETKerry CarpenterRF
60-Day-IL
DETBurch SmithRP
60-Day-IL
DETParker MeadowsCF
60-Day-IL
DETColt Keith3B
10-Day-IL
DETTroy MeltonSP
15-Day-IL
DETKyle FinneganRP
15-Day-IL
DETWenceel PerezRF
60-Day-IL
ATLSpencer SchwellenbachSP
60-Day-IL
ATLSpencer StriderSP
60-Day-IL
ATLMartin PerezSP
15-Day-IL
ATLBryce ElderSP
15-Day-IL
ATLHurston WaldrepSP
60-Day-IL
ATLReynaldo LopezRP
15-Day-IL
ATLJoe JimenezRP
60-Day-IL
ATLJoey WentzRP
60-Day-IL