AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Tigers @ Braves

Tue, Apr 28 11:15 PMTruist ParkMLB.TV
Final
DET 2 - 5 ATL
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
DET +1.5·ATL -1.5
Moneyline
DET +102·ATL -122
Total
8.5
Tigers
Away
Tigers
61-69
29-38 road
L
L
L
L
L
Braves
Home
Braves
76-55
42-23 home
W
L
L
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Braves ML
-126· moderate risk
72%

Atlanta holds a +1.8 run differential advantage, an 8-2 ATS run last 10, and a dominant 10-5 home record against Detroit's 5-12 road mark — a multi-layer structural edge at a reasonable -126 price.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Casey Mize
DET
Casey Mize
(5-7, 3.44)
3.44
ERA
Martin Perez
ATL
Martin Perez
(8-8, 3.12)
3.12
ERA

Season Series — DET 1 - ATL 2

DET 5-2 ATL
Apr 30
DET 4-3 ATL
Apr 29
DET 5-2 ATL
Apr 28

Batting

0.241
#19
AVG
0.246
#11
0.722
#13
OPS
0.721
#14
153
#14
HR
167
#7
580
#17
R
610
#8
553
#17
RBI
585
#8
36
#30
SB
63
#25

Pitching

3.56
#4
ERA
3.61
#5
1.210
#5
WHIP
1.240
#8
1055
#20
K
1106
#12
396
#9
BB
442
#16
48
#9
QS
49
#8
26
#26
SV
39
#4

Bullpen & Advanced

8.3
#19
K/9
8.6
#13
0.231
#5
OPP AVG
0.230
#4
0.680
#5
OPP OPS
0.685
#7
60
#24
HLD
92
#3

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

66-64
Overall ATS
70-61
32-35
Away/Home ATS
36-29
31-46
As Favorite
46-51
35-18
As Underdog
24-10
0-0-6
Over/Under
0-0-6
3-7
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.3
Avg margin: +0.6
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +0.8

Scoring

4.52
R/G
4.69
3.95
RA/G
3.85
0.5
DIFF
0.9

Injury Report

DETBrant HurterRP
60-Day-IL
DETKerry CarpenterRF
10-Day-IL
DETJack FlahertySP
15-Day-IL
DETRiley GreeneLF
10-Day-IL
DETWenceel PerezRF
60-Day-IL
DETWill VestRP
60-Day-IL
DETJustin VerlanderSP
60-Day-IL
DETMatt VierlingCF
10-Day-IL
ATLReynaldo LopezRP
15-Day-IL
ATLRobert SuarezRP
15-Day-IL
ATLSpencer SchwellenbachSP
60-Day-IL
ATLSpencer StriderSP
60-Day-IL
ATLJoe JimenezRP
60-Day-IL
ATLJoey WentzRP
60-Day-IL