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MLB Matchup

Tigers @ Pirates

Mon, Aug 17 11:00 PMPNC ParkESPN
Final
DET 8 - 5 PIT
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
DET +1.5·PIT -1.5
Moneyline
DET -105·PIT -103
Total
8.5
Tigers
Away
Tigers
61-69
29-38 road
L
L
L
L
L
Pirates
Home
Pirates
63-69
34-32 home
L
L
L
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Tigers ML
-104· moderate risk
60%

Detroit's superior team ERA (3.55 vs 4.31) and opponent OPS allowed (0.678 vs 0.715) give the Tigers a meaningful pitching-staff edge despite starting on a three-game losing streak.

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Starting Pitchers

Framber Valdez
DET
Framber Valdez
(8-8, 4.35)
4.35
ERA
Carmen Mlodzinski
PIT
Carmen Mlodzinski
(6-6, 4.17)
4.17
ERA

Season Series — DET 1 - PIT 2

DET 4-3 PIT
Aug 19
DET 4-1 PIT
Aug 18
DET 8-5 PIT
Aug 17

Batting

0.242
#18
AVG
0.254
#3
0.723
#12
OPS
0.738
#4
154
#14
HR
156
#12
587
#14
R
653
#3
560
#16
RBI
623
#3
38
#30
SB
109
#8

Pitching

3.62
#5
ERA
4.29
#22
1.220
#6
WHIP
1.320
#19
1063
#19
K
1226
#4
400
#9
BB
487
#24
48
#9
QS
39
#23
26
#26
SV
25
#27

Bullpen & Advanced

8.3
#19
K/9
9.4
#4
0.232
#7
OPP AVG
0.240
#15
0.682
#6
OPP OPS
0.711
#14
60
#24
HLD
51
#28

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

66-64
Overall ATS
65-67
32-35
Away/Home ATS
33-33
31-46
As Favorite
31-38
35-18
As Underdog
34-29
0-0-6
Over/Under
0-0-4
3-7
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.3
Avg margin: +0.6
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.1
Avg margin: +0.2

Scoring

4.52
R/G
4.95
3.95
RA/G
4.76
0.5
DIFF
0.1

Injury Report

DETJack FlahertySP
15-Day-IL
DETBrant HurterRP
60-Day-IL
DETKerry CarpenterRF
10-Day-IL
DETRiley GreeneLF
10-Day-IL
DETWenceel PerezRF
60-Day-IL
DETWill VestRP
60-Day-IL
DETJustin VerlanderSP
60-Day-IL
DETMatt VierlingCF
10-Day-IL
PITKonnor GriffinSS
60-Day-IL
PITEndy RodriguezC
10-Day-IL
PITRyan O'HearnRF
10-Day-IL
PITMitch KellerSP
60-Day-IL