MLB Matchup

Tigers @ Royals

Sat, Aug 22 12:10 AMKauffman StadiumMLB.TV

Final

DET 2 - 5 KC

Odds

DraftKings

Run Line

DET +1.5·KC -1.5

Moneyline

DET -105·KC -103

Total

8

Tigers

Away

Tigers

76-86

34-47 road

Royals

Home

Royals

69-93

41-40 home

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation

-113· moderate risk

Troy Melton's 1.71 ERA vs Noah Cameron's 4.16 ERA represents a 2.45-run starter advantage — the dominant MLB signal — in favor of Detroit.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Troy Melton

DET

Troy Melton

(8-5, 2.76)

2.76

ERA

Noah Cameron

KC

Noah Cameron

(9-8, 4.11)

4.11

ERA

Batting

0.241

#18

AVG

0.247

#10

0.720

#12

OPS

0.718

#16

181

#11

HR

170

#14

723

#9

R

690

#15

683

#12

RBI

656

#15

58

#22

SB

130

#7

Pitching

3.67

#7

ERA

4.77

#23

1.220

#8

WHIP

1.410

#24

1312

#14

K

1173

#20

507

#14

BB

582

#24

56

#6

QS

62

#3

32

#19

SV

38

#14

Bullpen & Advanced

8.2

#18

K/9

7.4

#27

0.232

#9

OPP AVG

0.261

#25

0.684

#8

OPP OPS

0.777

#26

71

#21

HLD

83

#16

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

84-78

Overall ATS

77-85

40-41

Away/Home ATS

41-40

36-54

As Favorite

15-32

48-24

As Underdog

62-53

0-0-8

Over/Under

0-0-6

4-6

Last 10 ATS

2-8

ATS Win%

0.5%

Avg spread: -0.2

Avg margin: +0.4

ATS Win%

0.5%

Avg spread: +0.6

Avg margin: -0.7

Scoring

4.46

R/G

4.26

4.02

RA/G

5.00

0.5

DIFF

-0.7

Injury Report

DETReese OlsonSP

60-Day-IL

DETKerry CarpenterRF

60-Day-IL

DETBurch SmithRP

60-Day-IL

DETParker MeadowsCF

60-Day-IL

DETColt Keith3B

10-Day-IL

DETTroy MeltonSP

15-Day-IL

DETKyle FinneganRP

15-Day-IL

DETWenceel PerezRF

60-Day-IL

KCSteven CruzRP

Out

KCTony GonsolinSP

15-Day-IL

KCConnor SeaboldRP

60-Day-IL

KCBeck WayRP

15-Day-IL

KCCarlos EstevezRP

60-Day-IL

KCNick MearsRP

60-Day-IL

KCMitch SpenceRP

Day-To-Day

KCLuinder AvilaSP

60-Day-IL