AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Tigers @ Red Sox

Sat, Apr 18 8:10 PMFenway ParkMLB.TV
Final
DET 4 - 1 BOS
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
DET -1.5·BOS +1.5
Moneyline
DET -143·BOS +119
Total
6.5
Tigers
Away
Tigers
25-38
11-24 road
W
W
W
L
L
Red Sox
Home
Red Sox
26-35
10-21 home
L
W
L
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Tigers ML
-175· moderate risk
72%

Tarik Skubal (2.22 ERA) vs Brayan Bello (6.14 ERA) is a massive 3.92-run ERA gap — the single clearest edge in this matchup and the dominant factor in any MLB game.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Tarik Skubal
DET
Tarik Skubal
(3-2, 2.70)
2.70
ERA
Brayan Bello
BOS
Brayan Bello
(2-6, 6.34)
6.34
ERA

Season Series — DET 2 - BOS 5

DET 4-0 BOS
May 6
DET 10-3 BOS
May 5
DET 5-4 BOS
May 4
DET 8-6 BOS
Apr 20
DET 6-2 BOS
Apr 19
DET 4-1 BOS
Apr 18
DET 1-0 BOS
Apr 17

Batting

0.235
#22
AVG
0.248
#6
0.698
#23
OPS
0.699
#22
61
#18
HR
46
#29
248
#26
R
243
#28
236
#27
RBI
233
#29
23
#28
SB
43
#15

Pitching

4.02
#16
ERA
3.85
#9
1.270
#16
WHIP
1.270
#16
505
#19
K
520
#14
210
#14
BB
192
#9
24
#7
QS
22
#10
12
#26
SV
13
#23

Bullpen & Advanced

8.3
#18
K/9
8.7
#10
0.236
#11
OPP AVG
0.242
#18
0.694
#12
OPP OPS
0.701
#14
24
#27
HLD
30
#19

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

31-32
Overall ATS
25-36
14-21
Away/Home ATS
10-21
11-22
As Favorite
15-26
20-10
As Underdog
10-10
0-0-4
Over/Under
0-0-2
6-4
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.1
Avg margin: -0.4
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.5
Avg margin: -0.1

Scoring

3.94
R/G
3.98
4.33
RA/G
4.08
-0.4
DIFF
-0.1

Injury Report

DETTrey SweeneySS
60-Day-IL
DETTarik SkubalSP
15-Day-IL
DETKenley JansenRP
15-Day-IL
DETJackson JobeSP
60-Day-IL
DETJavier BaezSS
10-Day-IL
DETCasey MizeSP
15-Day-IL
DETJustin VerlanderSP
60-Day-IL
DETBrant HurterRP
60-Day-IL
BOSGarrett WhitlockRP
15-Day-IL
BOSGarrett CrochetSP
60-Day-IL
BOSTrevor StorySS
60-Day-IL
BOSRomy Gonzalez1B
60-Day-IL
BOSPatrick SandovalSP
60-Day-IL
BOSNick Sogard3B
10-Day-IL
BOSKutter CrawfordSP
60-Day-IL
BOSRoman AnthonyLF
10-Day-IL