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MLB Matchup

Tigers @ Red Sox

Sat, Apr 18 8:10 PMFenway ParkMLB.TV
Final
DET 4 - 1 BOS
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
DET -1.5·BOS +1.5
Moneyline
DET -143·BOS +119
Total
6.5
Tigers
Away
Tigers
73-82
34-46 road
L
W
L
L
W
Red Sox
Home
Red Sox
84-72
38-37 home
L
L
W
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Tigers ML
-175· moderate risk
72%

Tarik Skubal (2.22 ERA) vs Brayan Bello (6.14 ERA) is a massive 3.92-run ERA gap — the single clearest edge in this matchup and the dominant factor in any MLB game.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Tarik Skubal
DET
Tarik Skubal
(11-7, 2.85)
2.85
ERA
Brayan Bello
BOS
Brayan Bello
(6-7, 4.49)
4.49
ERA

Season Series — DET 2 - BOS 5

DET 4-0 BOS
May 6
DET 10-3 BOS
May 5
DET 5-4 BOS
May 4
DET 8-6 BOS
Apr 20
DET 6-2 BOS
Apr 19
DET 4-1 BOS
Apr 18
DET 1-0 BOS
Apr 17

Batting

0.241
#20
AVG
0.246
#12
0.718
#15
OPS
0.722
#11
173
#19
HR
160
#23
696
#13
R
677
#20
661
#15
RBI
647
#20
55
#29
SB
103
#14

Pitching

3.63
#6
ERA
3.58
#3
1.220
#5
WHIP
1.240
#6
1246
#22
K
1345
#10
485
#10
BB
451
#3
55
#10
QS
63
#5
31
#27
SV
44
#8

Bullpen & Advanced

8.2
#20
K/9
8.8
#9
0.232
#5
OPP AVG
0.242
#16
0.684
#5
OPP OPS
0.686
#6
70
#27
HLD
92
#9

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

81-74
Overall ATS
74-81
40-40
Away/Home ATS
33-42
35-51
As Favorite
47-60
46-23
As Underdog
27-21
0-0-8
Over/Under
0-0-4
7-3
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.2
Avg margin: +0.5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.6
Avg margin: +0.5

Scoring

4.49
R/G
4.35
4.01
RA/G
3.83
0.5
DIFF
0.5

Injury Report

DETKyle FinneganRP
15-Day-IL
DETKerry CarpenterRF
10-Day-IL
DETJustin VerlanderSP
60-Day-IL
DETJack FlahertySP
15-Day-IL
DETWenceel PerezRF
60-Day-IL
DETMatt VierlingCF
60-Day-IL
DETWill VestRP
60-Day-IL
DETBurch SmithRP
60-Day-IL
BOSGarrett CrochetSP
60-Day-IL
BOSTanner HouckSP
60-Day-IL
BOSWillson Contreras1B
Day-To-Day
BOSAroldis ChapmanRP
Day-To-Day
BOSJohan OviedoSP
60-Day-IL
BOSCeddanne RafaelaCF
10-Day-IL
BOSJustin SlatenRP
15-Day-IL
BOSCurtis Mead3B
10-Day-IL