AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Twins @ Astros

Thu, Jul 2 12:10 AMDaikin ParkMLB.TV
Final
MIN 8 - 3 HOU
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIN +1.5·HOU -1.5
Moneyline
MIN +130·HOU -157
Total
8.5
Twins
Away
Twins
46-48
22-24 road
L
W
W
W
W
Astros
Home
Astros
46-49
23-24 home
L
W
L
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Twins ML
+113· moderate risk
58%

Taj Bradley's 3.98 record ERA provides a meaningful advantage over Tatsuya Imai's 5.36, a 1.38-run delta that clears the 1.5 ERA threshold for a significant pitching edge in Minnesota's favor.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Taj Bradley
MIN
Taj Bradley
(8-3, 3.67)
3.67
ERA
Tatsuya Imai
HOU
Tatsuya Imai
(5-4, 6.06)
6.06
ERA

Season Series — MIN 4 - HOU 2

MIN 8-3 HOU
Jul 2
MIN 6-4 HOU
Jul 1
MIN 5-4 HOU
Jun 30
MIN 4-1 HOU
May 20
MIN 2-1 HOU
May 19
MIN 6-3 HOU
May 18

Batting

0.247
#10
AVG
0.241
#18
0.736
#8
OPS
0.725
#15
118
#9
HR
126
#3
459
#6
R
432
#11
437
#8
RBI
412
#12
55
#19
SB
34
#28

Pitching

4.68
#25
ERA
4.78
#27
1.370
#23
WHIP
1.400
#26
781
#15
K
817
#9
340
#23
BB
414
#30
34
#9
QS
26
#22
25
#12
SV
28
#4

Bullpen & Advanced

8.5
#17
K/9
8.8
#9
0.251
#23
OPP AVG
0.242
#17
0.744
#24
OPP OPS
0.751
#25
62
#4
HLD
44
#20

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

50-44
Overall ATS
45-50
25-21
Away/Home ATS
22-25
7-18
As Favorite
12-25
43-26
As Underdog
33-25
0-0-7
Over/Under
0-0-6
5-5
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.7
Avg margin: -0.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.3
Avg margin: -0.5

Scoring

4.88
R/G
4.55
5.06
RA/G
5.05
-0.2
DIFF
-0.6

Injury Report

MINAnthony BandaRP
15-Day-IL
MINConnor PrielippSP
15-Day-IL
MINMarco RayaRP
15-Day-IL
MINCole SandsRP
15-Day-IL
MINByron BuxtonCF
10-Day-IL
MINGarrett ActonRP
60-Day-IL
MINMick AbelSP
15-Day-IL
MINDavid FestaSP
60-Day-IL
HOULance McCullers Jr.SP
15-Day-IL
HOURonel BlancoSP
60-Day-IL
HOUBennett SousaRP
60-Day-IL
HOUHayden WesneskiSP
60-Day-IL
HOUKai-Wei TengRP
15-Day-IL
HOUBrandon WalterSP
60-Day-IL
HOUCarlos CorreaSS
60-Day-IL