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MLB Matchup

Twins @ Astros

Thu, Jul 2 12:10 AMDaikin ParkMLB.TV
Final
MIN 8 - 3 HOU
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIN +1.5·HOU -1.5
Moneyline
MIN +130·HOU -157
Total
8.5
Twins
Away
Twins
64-68
29-37 road
W
L
L
L
W
Astros
Home
Astros
65-66
33-35 home
L
L
W
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Twins ML
+113· moderate risk
58%

Taj Bradley's 3.98 record ERA provides a meaningful advantage over Tatsuya Imai's 5.36, a 1.38-run delta that clears the 1.5 ERA threshold for a significant pitching edge in Minnesota's favor.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Taj Bradley
MIN
Taj Bradley
(9-5, 3.90)
3.90
ERA
Tatsuya Imai
HOU
Tatsuya Imai
(6-4, 5.32)
5.32
ERA

Season Series — MIN 4 - HOU 2

MIN 8-3 HOU
Jul 2
MIN 6-4 HOU
Jul 1
MIN 5-4 HOU
Jun 30
MIN 4-1 HOU
May 20
MIN 2-1 HOU
May 19
MIN 6-3 HOU
May 18

Batting

0.245
#13
AVG
0.242
#18
0.723
#12
OPS
0.727
#10
151
#15
HR
173
#5
600
#9
R
596
#12
572
#10
RBI
567
#13
74
#18
SB
40
#29

Pitching

4.66
#26
ERA
4.63
#25
1.390
#26
WHIP
1.360
#24
1081
#17
K
1149
#10
481
#22
BB
540
#29
43
#17
QS
36
#25
37
#9
SV
39
#5

Bullpen & Advanced

8.4
#17
K/9
8.9
#9
0.252
#25
OPP AVG
0.240
#15
0.744
#25
OPP OPS
0.739
#24
89
#4
HLD
65
#21

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

70-62
Overall ATS
63-68
36-30
Away/Home ATS
32-36
12-26
As Favorite
24-42
58-36
As Underdog
39-26
0-0-11
Over/Under
0-0-7
4-6
Last 10 ATS
2-8
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.6
Avg margin: -0.4
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg margin: -0.3

Scoring

4.61
R/G
4.55
5.00
RA/G
4.89
-0.4
DIFF
-0.4

Injury Report

MINJoe RyanSP
15-Day-IL
MINAustin MartinRF
10-Day-IL
MINMike ParedesSP
60-Day-IL
MINCole SandsRP
60-Day-IL
MINDavid FestaSP
60-Day-IL
MINMick AbelSP
60-Day-IL
MINAnthony BandaRP
15-Day-IL
MINPablo LopezSP
60-Day-IL
HOUMike BurrowsSP
15-Day-IL
HOUBrice MatthewsCF
60-Day-IL
HOUCarlos CorreaSS
60-Day-IL
HOUBrandon WalterSP
60-Day-IL