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MLB Matchup

Twins @ Nationals

Tue, May 5 10:45 PMNationals ParkMLB.TV
Final
MIN 11 - 3 WSH
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIN -1.5·WSH +1.5
Moneyline
MIN -118·WSH -102
Total
9.5
Twins
Away
Twins
26-27
11-13 road
W
W
W
W
L
Nationals
Home
Nationals
26-27
10-16 home
W
L
L
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Nationals ML
-112· moderate risk
60%

Washington holds a meaningful ATS edge (+8% overall ATS win rate, 20-15 vs MIN's 17-18) and Cavalli's 3.82 ERA compares favorably to Bradley's 2.85 on paper, but MIN's superior team ERA (4.46 vs WSH's 4.81) and better pitching metrics temper the lean.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Taj Bradley
MIN
Taj Bradley
(5-1, 2.77)
2.77
ERA
Cade Cavalli
WSH
Cade Cavalli
(2-3, 3.86)
3.86
ERA

Season Series — MIN 1 - WSH 2

MIN 7-5 WSH
May 7
MIN 15-2 WSH
May 6
MIN 11-3 WSH
May 5

Batting

0.238
#16
AVG
0.243
#10
0.712
#12
OPS
0.738
#4
57
#13
HR
65
#6
242
#8
R
286
#1
229
#7
RBI
268
#2
40
#13
SB
51
#5

Pitching

4.18
#19
ERA
4.87
#26
1.320
#18
WHIP
1.390
#24
400
#26
K
423
#16
188
#19
BB
191
#22
21
#6
QS
8
#29
13
#14
SV
15
#7

Bullpen & Advanced

7.8
#25
K/9
7.9
#24
0.240
#15
OPP AVG
0.255
#27
0.703
#17
OPP OPS
0.757
#26
39
#4
HLD
28
#16

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

29-24
Overall ATS
33-20
12-12
Away/Home ATS
13-13
3-8
As Favorite
0-1
26-16
As Underdog
33-19
0-0-5
Over/Under
0-0-4
9-1
Last 10 ATS
7-3
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.9
Avg margin: +0.1
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +1.4
Avg margin: -0.3

Scoring

4.68
R/G
5.40
4.60
RA/G
5.68
0.1
DIFF
-0.3

Injury Report

MINRyan JeffersC
10-Day-IL
MINGarrett ActonRP
60-Day-IL
MINWalker JenkinsCF
Day-To-Day
MINDavid FestaSP
60-Day-IL
MINCole SandsRP
15-Day-IL
MINMick AbelSP
15-Day-IL
MINCody LawerysonRP
15-Day-IL
MINPablo LopezSP
60-Day-IL
WSHJake IrvinSP
15-Day-IL
WSHDJ HerzSP
60-Day-IL
WSHCole HenryRP
15-Day-IL
WSHTrevor WilliamsSP
60-Day-IL
WSHJosiah GraySP
60-Day-IL
WSHTyler BaumDH
Day-To-Day
WSHKen WaldichukRP
60-Day-IL
WSHTyler StuartSP
Out