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MLB Matchup

Twins @ Nationals

Wed, May 6 10:45 PMNationals ParkESPN Unlmtd
Final
MIN 2 - 15 WSH
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIN -1.5·WSH +1.5
Moneyline
MIN -126·WSH +105
Total
9.5
Twins
Away
Twins
46-48
22-24 road
L
W
W
W
W
Nationals
Home
Nationals
48-46
20-28 home
W
L
W
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Twins ML
-136· moderate risk
72%

Bailey Ober (3-1, 3.55 ERA) holds a massive 4.68-run ERA advantage over Miles Mikolas (0-3, 8.23 ERA), making the starting pitcher matchup a clear lean toward Minnesota.

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Starting Pitchers

Bailey Ober
MIN
Bailey Ober
(6-3, 4.40)
4.40
ERA
Miles Mikolas
WSH
Miles Mikolas
(3-7, 5.78)
5.78
ERA

Season Series — MIN 1 - WSH 2

MIN 7-5 WSH
May 7
MIN 15-2 WSH
May 6
MIN 11-3 WSH
May 5

Batting

0.247
#10
AVG
0.251
#8
0.736
#8
OPS
0.760
#3
118
#9
HR
132
#2
459
#6
R
508
#1
437
#8
RBI
484
#1
55
#19
SB
100
#1

Pitching

4.68
#25
ERA
4.76
#26
1.370
#23
WHIP
1.390
#24
781
#15
K
744
#21
340
#23
BB
330
#19
34
#9
QS
18
#28
25
#12
SV
27
#8

Bullpen & Advanced

8.5
#17
K/9
7.9
#24
0.251
#23
OPP AVG
0.259
#27
0.744
#24
OPP OPS
0.759
#26
62
#4
HLD
52
#12

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

50-44
Overall ATS
57-37
25-21
Away/Home ATS
24-24
7-18
As Favorite
6-6
43-26
As Underdog
51-31
0-0-7
Over/Under
0-0-6
5-5
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.7
Avg margin: -0.2
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +1.1
Avg margin: +0.1

Scoring

4.88
R/G
5.40
5.06
RA/G
5.27
-0.2
DIFF
0.1

Injury Report

MINAnthony BandaRP
15-Day-IL
MINConnor PrielippSP
15-Day-IL
MINMarco RayaRP
15-Day-IL
MINCole SandsRP
15-Day-IL
MINByron BuxtonCF
10-Day-IL
MINGarrett ActonRP
60-Day-IL
MINMick AbelSP
15-Day-IL
MINDavid FestaSP
60-Day-IL
WSHBrad LordRP
15-Day-IL
WSHTrevor WilliamsSP
60-Day-IL
WSHJake IrvinSP
15-Day-IL
WSHMitchell ParkerRP
60-Day-IL
WSHRichard LoveladyRP
15-Day-IL
WSHDJ HerzSP
60-Day-IL
WSHMax KranickRP
60-Day-IL
WSHKen WaldichukRP
60-Day-IL