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MLB Matchup

Twins @ Nationals

Wed, May 6 10:45 PMNationals ParkESPN Unlmtd
Final
MIN 2 - 15 WSH
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIN -1.5·WSH +1.5
Moneyline
MIN -126·WSH +105
Total
9.5
Twins
Away
Twins
77-85
35-46 road
Nationals
Home
Nationals
77-85
39-42 home

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Twins ML
-136· moderate risk
72%

Bailey Ober (3-1, 3.55 ERA) holds a massive 4.68-run ERA advantage over Miles Mikolas (0-3, 8.23 ERA), making the starting pitcher matchup a clear lean toward Minnesota.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Bailey Ober
MIN
Bailey Ober
(7-7, 4.47)
4.47
ERA
Miles Mikolas
WSH
Miles Mikolas
(3-9, 5.82)
5.82
ERA

Batting

0.245
#14
AVG
0.246
#12
0.720
#12
OPS
0.744
#5
187
#7
HR
210
#2
739
#6
R
821
#2
707
#6
RBI
777
#2
91
#14
SB
178
#1

Pitching

4.56
#21
ERA
4.67
#22
1.360
#22
WHIP
1.390
#23
1381
#9
K
1283
#17
581
#22
BB
605
#27
54
#9
QS
36
#20
45
#8
SV
42
#10

Bullpen & Advanced

8.7
#13
K/9
8.0
#22
0.249
#19
OPP AVG
0.253
#22
0.734
#22
OPP OPS
0.757
#24
110
#3
HLD
84
#12

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

85-77
Overall ATS
91-71
43-38
Away/Home ATS
41-40
16-34
As Favorite
17-16
69-43
As Underdog
74-55
0-0-12
Over/Under
0-0-9
6-4
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.6
Avg margin: -0.4
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +0.9

Scoring

4.56
R/G
5.07
4.92
RA/G
5.03
-0.3
DIFF
0.1

Injury Report

MINWalker JenkinsCF
Out
MINByron BuxtonCF
10-Day-IL
MINJeff HoffmanRP
15-Day-IL
MINTrevor LarnachLF
10-Day-IL
MINMike ParedesSP
60-Day-IL
MINCole SandsRP
60-Day-IL
MINDavid FestaSP
60-Day-IL
MINMick AbelSP
60-Day-IL
WSHMatt WaldronRP
60-Day-IL
WSHDrew MillasC
60-Day-IL
WSHOrlando RibaltaRP
15-Day-IL
WSHPJ PoulinRP
60-Day-IL
WSHMitchell ParkerRP
60-Day-IL
WSHKen WaldichukRP
60-Day-IL