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MLB Matchup

Twins @ Nationals

Wed, May 6 10:45 PMNationals ParkESPN Unlmtd
Final
MIN 2 - 15 WSH
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIN -1.5·WSH +1.5
Moneyline
MIN -126·WSH +105
Total
9.5
Twins
Away
Twins
64-68
29-37 road
W
L
L
L
W
Nationals
Home
Nationals
62-71
28-36 home
W
L
L
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Twins ML
-136· moderate risk
72%

Bailey Ober (3-1, 3.55 ERA) holds a massive 4.68-run ERA advantage over Miles Mikolas (0-3, 8.23 ERA), making the starting pitcher matchup a clear lean toward Minnesota.

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Starting Pitchers

Bailey Ober
MIN
Bailey Ober
(7-4, 4.49)
4.49
ERA
Miles Mikolas
WSH
Miles Mikolas
(3-9, 5.82)
5.82
ERA

Season Series — MIN 1 - WSH 2

MIN 7-5 WSH
May 7
MIN 15-2 WSH
May 6
MIN 11-3 WSH
May 5

Batting

0.245
#13
AVG
0.248
#9
0.723
#12
OPS
0.754
#3
151
#15
HR
183
#1
600
#9
R
682
#2
572
#10
RBI
652
#1
74
#18
SB
139
#1

Pitching

4.66
#26
ERA
4.68
#27
1.390
#26
WHIP
1.390
#26
1081
#17
K
1013
#25
481
#22
BB
467
#20
43
#17
QS
29
#27
37
#9
SV
33
#16

Bullpen & Advanced

8.4
#17
K/9
7.8
#24
0.252
#25
OPP AVG
0.257
#27
0.744
#25
OPP OPS
0.761
#27
89
#4
HLD
67
#19

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

70-62
Overall ATS
76-57
36-30
Away/Home ATS
33-31
12-26
As Favorite
14-11
58-36
As Underdog
62-46
0-0-11
Over/Under
0-0-8
4-6
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.6
Avg margin: -0.4
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +0.9
Avg margin: +0.2

Scoring

4.61
R/G
5.23
5.00
RA/G
5.08
-0.4
DIFF
0.1

Injury Report

MINJoe RyanSP
15-Day-IL
MINAustin MartinRF
10-Day-IL
MINMike ParedesSP
60-Day-IL
MINCole SandsRP
60-Day-IL
MINDavid FestaSP
60-Day-IL
MINMick AbelSP
60-Day-IL
MINAnthony BandaRP
15-Day-IL
MINPablo LopezSP
60-Day-IL
WSHJosiah GraySP
60-Day-IL
WSHConnelly EarlySP
60-Day-IL
WSHJames WoodRF
10-Day-IL
WSHDJ HerzSP
60-Day-IL
WSHDrew MillasC
10-Day-IL
WSHRichard LoveladyRP
60-Day-IL
WSHPJ PoulinRP
60-Day-IL
WSHMitchell ParkerRP
60-Day-IL