MLB Matchup

Twins @ Padres

Sun, Aug 23 12:40 AMPetco ParkMLB.TV

Final

MIN 5 - 7 SD

Odds

DraftKings

Run Line

MIN +1.5·SD -1.5

Moneyline

MIN +129·SD -139

Total

8

Twins

Away

Twins

77-85

35-46 road

Padres

Home

Padres

91-71

51-30 home

L

W

L

L

W

AI Analysis

WONMinnesota Twins 5, San Diego Padres 7

-135· moderate risk

Casey Mize (3.18 ERA) holds a dominant 2.22 ERA advantage over Dean Kremer (5.40 ERA), the single most reliable predictive signal in MLB betting.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Dean Kremer

MIN

Dean Kremer

(5-5, 4.68)

4.68

ERA

Casey Mize

SD

Casey Mize

(6-10, 4.32)

4.32

ERA

Batting

0.245

#14

AVG

0.230

#2

0.720

#12

OPS

0.651

#2

187

#7

HR

6

#23

739

#6

R

22

#26

707

#6

RBI

19

#26

91

#14

SB

4

#25

Pitching

4.56

#21

ERA

2.22

#1

1.360

#22

WHIP

1.220

#3

1381

#9

K

45

#27

581

#22

BB

23

#5

54

#9

QS

1

#25

45

#8

SV

2

#23

Bullpen & Advanced

8.7

#13

K/9

7.7

#5

0.249

#19

OPP AVG

0.211

#2

0.734

#22

OPP OPS

0.588

#1

110

#3

HLD

5

#23

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

85-77

Overall ATS

2-0

43-38

Away/Home ATS

2-0

16-34

As Favorite

2-0

69-43

As Underdog

0-0

0-0-12

Over/Under

0-0

6-4

Last 10 ATS

2-0

ATS Win%

0.5%

Avg spread: +0.6

Avg margin: -0.4

ATS Win%

1.0%

Avg spread: -1.5

Avg margin: +5.5

Scoring

4.56

R/G

4.46

4.92

RA/G

4.20

-0.3

DIFF

0.3

Injury Report

MINWalker JenkinsCF

Out

MINByron BuxtonCF

10-Day-IL

MINJeff HoffmanRP

15-Day-IL

MINTrevor LarnachLF

10-Day-IL

MINMike ParedesSP

60-Day-IL

MINCole SandsRP

60-Day-IL

MINDavid FestaSP

60-Day-IL

MINMick AbelSP

60-Day-IL

SDAdrian MorejonRP

Day-To-Day

SDGavin Sheets1B

Day-To-Day

SDRodolfo DuranC

60-Day-IL

SDMiguel AndujarDH

10-Day-IL

SDJeremiah EstradaRP

15-Day-IL

SDRamon LaureanoLF

60-Day-IL

SDLuis RengifoLF

60-Day-IL

SDLucas GiolitoSP

60-Day-IL