AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Twins @ Rays

Sun, Apr 26 5:40 PMTropicana FieldMLB.TV
Final
MIN 2 - 4 TB
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIN +1.5·TB -1.5
Moneyline
MIN +119·TB -143
Total
8.5
Twins
Away
Twins
64-68
29-37 road
W
L
L
L
W
Rays
Home
Rays
78-53
43-23 home
W
W
L
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Rays ML
-149· moderate risk
72%

Jesse Scholtens (2.93 ERA) holds a 3.03 ERA advantage over Simeon Woods Richards (5.96 ERA), a gap well above the 1.5-threshold that signals a significant pitching edge, anchoring Tampa Bay's home-side advantage.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Simeon Woods Richardson
MIN
Simeon Woods Richardson
(2-7, 5.95)
5.95
ERA
Griffin Jax
TB
Griffin Jax
(6-9, 3.63)
3.63
ERA

Season Series — MIN 1 - TB 5

MIN 4-2 TB
Apr 26
MIN 6-1 TB
Apr 25
MIN 6-2 TB
Apr 24
MIN 4-1 TB
Apr 5
MIN 7-1 TB
Apr 4
MIN 10-4 TB
Apr 3

Batting

0.245
#13
AVG
0.261
#1
0.723
#12
OPS
0.734
#6
151
#15
HR
135
#23
600
#9
R
587
#14
572
#10
RBI
558
#17
74
#18
SB
128
#4

Pitching

4.66
#26
ERA
3.83
#8
1.390
#26
WHIP
1.160
#2
1081
#17
K
1061
#20
481
#22
BB
329
#1
43
#17
QS
40
#20
37
#9
SV
51
#1

Bullpen & Advanced

8.4
#17
K/9
8.2
#20
0.252
#25
OPP AVG
0.233
#8
0.744
#25
OPP OPS
0.691
#8
89
#4
HLD
99
#1

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

70-62
Overall ATS
72-59
36-30
Away/Home ATS
36-30
12-26
As Favorite
50-47
58-36
As Underdog
22-12
0-0-11
Over/Under
0-0-5
4-6
Last 10 ATS
2-8
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.6
Avg margin: -0.4
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +0.4

Scoring

4.61
R/G
4.51
5.00
RA/G
4.15
-0.4
DIFF
0.3

Injury Report

MINJoe RyanSP
15-Day-IL
MINAustin MartinRF
10-Day-IL
MINMike ParedesSP
60-Day-IL
MINCole SandsRP
60-Day-IL
MINDavid FestaSP
60-Day-IL
MINMick AbelSP
60-Day-IL
MINAnthony BandaRP
15-Day-IL
MINPablo LopezSP
60-Day-IL
TBGriffin JaxSP
15-Day-IL
TBCole SulserRP
15-Day-IL
TBEdwin UcetaRP
60-Day-IL
TBJake FraleyRF
60-Day-IL
TBGavin LuxLF
60-Day-IL
TBBen Williamson2B
10-Day-IL
TBJonathan HeasleyRP
60-Day-IL
TBRyan PepiotSP
60-Day-IL