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MLB Matchup

Twins @ Red Sox

Fri, May 22 11:10 PMFenway ParkESPN Unlmtd
Final
MIN 8 - 6 BOS
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIN +1.5·BOS -1.5
Moneyline
MIN +129·BOS -156
Total
7
Twins
Away
Twins
26-27
11-13 road
W
W
W
W
L
Red Sox
Home
Red Sox
22-30
8-17 home
L
L
L
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Twins ML
+130· moderate risk
62%

Minnesota is 8-2 ATS last 10 games and carries a +11% ATS win rate advantage over Boston, while the Red Sox are a dismal 7-15 (.318) ATS at home this season — the market price of +130 offers genuine underdog value against a home team that consistently fails to cover.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Connor Prielipp
MIN
Connor Prielipp
(1-2, 4.03)
4.03
ERA
Payton Tolle
BOS
Payton Tolle
(2-2, 2.45)
2.45
ERA

Season Series — MIN 5 - BOS 1

MIN 6-5 BOS
May 24
MIN 4-2 BOS
May 23
MIN 8-6 BOS
May 22
MIN 9-5 BOS
Apr 15
MIN 6-0 BOS
Apr 14
MIN 13-6 BOS
Apr 13

Batting

0.238
#16
AVG
0.239
#15
0.712
#12
OPS
0.676
#27
57
#13
HR
36
#29
242
#8
R
189
#29
229
#7
RBI
181
#29
40
#13
SB
37
#15

Pitching

4.18
#19
ERA
3.71
#9
1.320
#18
WHIP
1.240
#10
400
#26
K
421
#18
188
#19
BB
157
#6
21
#6
QS
19
#9
13
#14
SV
12
#21

Bullpen & Advanced

7.8
#25
K/9
8.4
#16
0.240
#15
OPP AVG
0.237
#13
0.703
#17
OPP OPS
0.694
#13
39
#4
HLD
27
#19

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

29-24
Overall ATS
20-32
12-12
Away/Home ATS
7-18
3-8
As Favorite
13-23
26-16
As Underdog
7-9
0-0-5
Over/Under
0-0-1
9-1
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.9
Avg margin: +0.1
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.6
Avg margin: -0.3

Scoring

4.68
R/G
3.73
4.60
RA/G
4.04
0.1
DIFF
-0.3

Injury Report

MINRyan JeffersC
10-Day-IL
MINGarrett ActonRP
60-Day-IL
MINWalker JenkinsCF
Day-To-Day
MINDavid FestaSP
60-Day-IL
MINCole SandsRP
15-Day-IL
MINMick AbelSP
15-Day-IL
MINCody LawerysonRP
15-Day-IL
MINPablo LopezSP
60-Day-IL
BOSRomy Gonzalez1B
60-Day-IL
BOSGarrett CrochetSP
15-Day-IL
BOSTrevor StorySS
10-Day-IL
BOSRoman AnthonyLF
10-Day-IL
BOSKutter CrawfordSP
60-Day-IL
BOSTanner HouckSP
60-Day-IL
BOSHobie HarrisRP
Day-To-Day
BOSTriston Casas1B
60-Day-IL