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MLB Matchup

Yankees @ Mets

Sat, May 16 11:15 PMCiti FieldMLB.TV
Final
NYY 3 - 6 NYM
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
NYY -1.5·NYM +1.5
Moneyline
NYY -126·NYM +105
Total
8.5
Yankees
Away
Yankees
31-22
14-13 road
W
L
L
L
W
Mets
Home
Mets
22-31
11-13 home
L
L
L
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Yankees ML
-125· moderate risk
68%

Yankees hold a +2.1 run differential edge, a massive offensive OPS gap (0.763 vs 0.638), and face a Mets starter in Brazoban whose 2.14 ERA is likely unsustainable against a lineup scoring 228 runs this season, while Rodon's 6.23 ERA is a real concern that caps confidence below PICK threshold.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Carlos Rodon
NYY
Carlos Rodon
(0-2, 4.15)
4.15
ERA
Huascar Brazoban
NYM
Huascar Brazoban
(3-1, 1.73)
1.73
ERA

Season Series — NYY 1 - NYM 2

NYY 7-6 NYM
May 17
NYY 6-3 NYM
May 16
NYY 5-2 NYM
May 15

Batting

0.234
#21
AVG
0.228
#25
0.755
#3
OPS
0.645
#30
74
#1
HR
46
#22
252
#4
R
206
#25
239
#5
RBI
196
#25
49
#6
SB
27
#21

Pitching

3.30
#4
ERA
3.84
#12
1.180
#3
WHIP
1.280
#16
456
#10
K
481
#3
160
#8
BB
188
#19
21
#6
QS
13
#22
12
#21
SV
8
#28

Bullpen & Advanced

8.9
#8
K/9
9.3
#5
0.223
#4
OPP AVG
0.233
#11
0.631
#2
OPP OPS
0.679
#9
34
#10
HLD
20
#25

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

26-27
Overall ATS
20-33
13-14
Away/Home ATS
9-15
26-27
As Favorite
12-28
0-0
As Underdog
8-5
0-0-4
Over/Under
0-0-5
2-8
Last 10 ATS
3-7
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -1.5
Avg margin: +1.3
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.8
Avg margin: -0.4

Scoring

4.79
R/G
3.89
3.53
RA/G
4.28
1.3
DIFF
-0.4

Injury Report

NYYJasson DominguezLF
10-Day-IL
NYYGiancarlo StantonDH
10-Day-IL
NYYMax FriedSP
15-Day-IL
NYYAngel ChivilliRP
15-Day-IL
NYYClarke SchmidtSP
60-Day-IL
NYYTravis MacGregorSP
Day-To-Day
NYMJuan SotoLF
Day-To-Day
NYMKodai SengaSP
15-Day-IL
NYMA.J. MinterRP
60-Day-IL
NYMClay HolmesSP
60-Day-IL
NYMMike TauchmanRF
Day-To-Day
NYMJared Young1B
10-Day-IL
NYMFrancisco LindorSS
10-Day-IL
NYMJorge Polanco1B
10-Day-IL