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MLB Matchup

Yankees @ Orioles

Wed, Aug 19 10:35 PMOriole Park at Camden YardsMLB.TV
Final
NYY 5 - 3 BAL
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
NYY +1.5·BAL -1.5
Moneyline
NYY -105·BAL -102
Total
9
Yankees
Away
Yankees
74-56
41-28 road
W
L
W
W
W
Orioles
Home
Orioles
63-68
34-34 home
L
W
W
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Yankees ML
-118· moderate risk
68%

Will Warren's 4.42 ERA holds a meaningful 0.69-run advantage over Chris Bassitt's 5.11 ERA, backed by a Yankees team ERA of 3.24 vs Baltimore's 4.23 — a full run of pitching separation at the team level.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Will Warren
NYY
Will Warren
(8-6, 4.43)
4.43
ERA
Chris Bassitt
BAL
Chris Bassitt
(4-4, 5.08)
5.08
ERA

Season Series — NYY 8 - BAL 2

NYY 6-1 BAL
Aug 20
NYY 5-3 BAL
Aug 19
NYY 3-1 BAL
Aug 18
NYY 7-0 BAL
May 13
NYY 6-2 BAL
May 12
NYY 3-2 BAL
May 11
NYY 12-1 BAL
May 4
NYY 11-3 BAL
May 3
NYY 9-4 BAL
May 2
NYY 7-2 BAL
May 1

Batting

0.230
#28
AVG
0.235
#26
0.716
#18
OPS
0.713
#20
179
#2
HR
159
#10
579
#18
R
583
#17
552
#18
RBI
563
#15
126
#5
SB
68
#21

Pitching

3.20
#1
ERA
4.19
#20
1.170
#4
WHIP
1.340
#22
1164
#8
K
1038
#23
395
#8
BB
435
#15
52
#6
QS
51
#7
39
#5
SV
34
#15

Bullpen & Advanced

9.0
#8
K/9
8.0
#23
0.224
#3
OPP AVG
0.254
#26
0.657
#2
OPP OPS
0.730
#22
72
#14
HLD
68
#17

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

64-66
Overall ATS
69-62
35-34
Away/Home ATS
36-32
52-59
As Favorite
25-35
12-7
As Underdog
44-27
0-0-5
Over/Under
0-0-5
7-3
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -1.1
Avg margin: +0.8
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.1
Avg margin: -0.3

Scoring

4.45
R/G
4.45
3.68
RA/G
4.72
0.8
DIFF
-0.2

Injury Report

NYYRyan WeathersSP
15-Day-IL
NYYRyan McMahon3B
10-Day-IL
NYYClarke SchmidtSP
60-Day-IL
NYYGiancarlo StantonDH
10-Day-IL
NYYMax FriedSP
15-Day-IL
NYYAaron JudgeRF
60-Day-IL
NYYKervin CastroRP
15-Day-IL
BALFelix BautistaRP
60-Day-IL
BALBlaze Alexander3B
10-Day-IL
BALRyan HelsleyRP
60-Day-IL
BALColin SelbyRP
60-Day-IL
BALRyan Mountcastle1B
60-Day-IL
BALKeegan AkinRP
60-Day-IL
BALJordan Westburg3B
60-Day-IL
BALZach EflinSP
60-Day-IL